TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dragon Ranger Gamingof Wolves Esports, Dragon Ranger Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming62c27,809$17,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,672.9912652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed Wolves Esports67c15,617$10,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,437.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dragon Ranger Gaming44c6,589$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.383956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wolves Esports13c3,173$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Wolves Esports22c2,931$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.2223732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Dragon Ranger Gaming63c2,366$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.0734857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Wolves Esports58c2,359$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.063655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Wolves Esports34c2,000$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.5741734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Wolves Esports50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Dragon Ranger Gaming61c1,875$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.228852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Wolves Esports21c1,853$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.851,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wolves Esports34c1,799$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6739042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Wolves Esports33c1,474$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6917642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Wolves Esports9c1,438$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.422018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Wolves Esports11c1,342$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0115217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Wolves Esports58c1,135$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5419546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolves Esports22c1,098$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.571,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Wolves Esports37c1,065$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Dragon Ranger Gaming61c1,028$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.815356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Wolves Esports39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Wolves Esports16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Wolves Esports40c907.3$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2319751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Wolves Esports38c890.1$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8929733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b1…bf16backed Wolves Esports6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Wolves Esports21c799.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17111354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Wolves Esports37c754.02$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.992766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Wolves Esports40c740$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29632047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Wolves Esports16c700.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Wolves Esports42c630.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9513951.1%71 W · 68 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming62c600.26$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.17550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Wolves Esports38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed Wolves Esports36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Wolves Esports58c586$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.884856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Dragon Ranger Gaming55c534.01$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0249255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dragon Ranger Gaming69c515.89$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2339646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Dragon Ranger Gaming60c508.15$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.265459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Wolves Esports22c506.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.551,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Wolves Esports24c501.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4728743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed Wolves Esports7c499.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed Wolves Esports33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Wolves Esports56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid0%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Wolves Esports12c447.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8960022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Wolves Esports26c434.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Wolves Esports38c429.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.225052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Wolves Esports24c421.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4630835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Wolves Esports10c413.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.525937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Wolves Esports45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming46c389.16$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.196647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Wolves Esports23c381.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2850944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Wolves Esports23c376$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.966438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Wolves Esports11c362.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6221859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Wolves Esports38c360$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.816241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e61…4ccabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming74c346.25$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming76c343.6$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Wolves Esports17c342$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2399846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Dragon Ranger Gaming62c328.68$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.91376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Wolves Esports24c326.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3916144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Wolves Esports13c325.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Wolves Esports31c318.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c314.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Wolves Esports37c299.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wolves Esports64c293.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5425336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Wolves Esports18c293.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7281134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming62c288.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2047…de86backed Dragon Ranger Gaming75c288.18$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports17c281.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.271,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be5…4465backed Wolves Esports40c275$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Wolves Esports38c265.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e71…9358backed Dragon Ranger Gaming60c264$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd212…1248backed Wolves Esports42c263.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c52…eaddbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming53c262.63$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Wolves Esports40c253$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.228143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Dragon Ranger Gaming63c244.8$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.584953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Dragon Ranger Gaming36c235.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1132245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports36c227.2$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.711,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Wolves Esports25c223$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.754447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Wolves Esports38c221.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3625245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Wolves Esports14c218.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Wolves Esports19c211.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming62c211.75$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming69c208.23$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5512056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Dragon Ranger Gaming62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7622449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Wolves Esports10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming73c177.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2310348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Dragon Ranger Gaming62c177$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.263063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Dragon Ranger Gaming59c174.13$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.218357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Wolves Esports25c165.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Wolves Esports38c160.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0525347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming63c158.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2416858.9%99 W · 69 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Wolves Esports59c157$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.638345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming55c154.71$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1170043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Dragon Ranger Gaming69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Wolves Esports57c144.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming38c136.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.951,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Dragon Ranger Gaming62c135.62$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4813661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming57c132.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Wolves Esports22c131.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8738548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming55c126.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Wolves Esports16c122.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.