TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5be5…4465

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.78
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$156.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$79.36
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$85.55
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.24
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.55
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Bbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$57.1
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$174.2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.63
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39.3
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.78
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$157.47
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.09
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$20.13
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$30.19
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.63
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$34.98
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$124.67
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$165.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$146.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$484.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.