TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Andres Martin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andres Martinof Christopher O'Connell, Andres Martin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Christopher O'Connell53c35,606$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Andres Martin49c9,642$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.568,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Christopher O'Connell56c9,083$5,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.044,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Christopher O'Connell64c5,126$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270.6311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Christopher O'Connell50c2,180$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.871,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Andres Martin56c1,989$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.444,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Christopher O'Connell2c1,667$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Andres Martin39c1,575$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7513253%70 W · 62 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Andres Martin39c1,384$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.438033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andres Martin47c1,123$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.893,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Andres Martin29c969.5$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.3517931.8%57 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Andres Martin73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9246030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Christopher O'Connell63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Martin47c731.63$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.396,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Christopher O'Connell71c704.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Christopher O'Connell38c600$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22952341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Christopher O'Connell44c597.73$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26357950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Andres Martin40c580.14$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.471,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Andres Martin47c574.55$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5127724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Christopher O'Connell34c560.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.997534.7%26 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Christopher O'Connell43c436.5$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.724,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Christopher O'Connell71c422.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8828147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Christopher O'Connell66c393.94$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb032…fd99backed Andres Martin42c382.74$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.994551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Christopher O'Connell41c360.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14844751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…4465backed Christopher O'Connell49c356.11$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Andres Martin64c353.24$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1727836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Andres Martin60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Andres Martin30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.338234.1%28 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Christopher O'Connell31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Christopher O'Connell45c311.3$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9854634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Andres Martin29c296.53$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7518542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Andres Martin64c291$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.811,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f64…2aacbacked Christopher O'Connell70c287.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017452.7%39 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Andres Martin61c272.34$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2173648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed Christopher O'Connell74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012242.6%52 W · 70 L-18.8wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Martin56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.518,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Christopher O'Connell44c232.27$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5525633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Christopher O'Connell67c232.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4820565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Andres Martin63c228.03$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.383,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Andres Martin39c226.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Andres Martin57c206.87$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.071,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Christopher O'Connell12c185$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9881933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Andres Martin57c183.32$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8839648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Christopher O'Connell41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Andres Martin39c180.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.217748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Andres Martin37c178.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3817554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Christopher O'Connell73c173$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Christopher O'Connell53c166$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.984,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa63…f061backed Christopher O'Connell21c154.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.397538.7%29 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Christopher O'Connell33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Christopher O'Connell53c151.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5343144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Christopher O'Connell41c141.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814536.6%53 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Andres Martin59c129.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.695,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Andres Martin39c125.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1717147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Christopher O'Connell37c121.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Christopher O'Connell51c109.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.916,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Christopher O'Connell78c105$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.956153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Christopher O'Connell54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Andres Martin28c99.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.83,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Christopher O'Connell39c99.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.624,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…cf4ebacked Christopher O'Connell44c98.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe762…4f6abacked Andres Martin37c96.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.513360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Christopher O'Connell75c95.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.253,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…ec00backed Andres Martin41c94.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.14645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Christopher O'Connell71c94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7430746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Andres Martin47c94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8251457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Andres Martin49c93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6829151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c0…ca02backed Andres Martin44c92.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Andres Martin29c90.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.482,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Andres Martin25c88.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.531,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Christopher O'Connell42c76.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Christopher O'Connell67c73.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Andres Martin60c71.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Andres Martin50c66.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…b7d4backed Andres Martin40c52.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.764639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d59…b22cbacked Andres Martin60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6711650%58 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andres Martin47c50.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.749,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Andres Martin29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.593945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Andres Martin80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107660.5%46 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Christopher O'Connell25c47.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.726,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Andres Martin50c47.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Andres Martin64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8819256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Christopher O'Connell70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Andres Martin37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Christopher O'Connell71c39.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Andres Martin28c39.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2929945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Christopher O'Connell72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.921,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Andres Martin29c34.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.57549.3%37 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Andres Martin44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9416943.8%74 W · 95 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andres Martin66c33.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.397,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Andres Martin63c33.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Andres Martin58c31.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2746851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Andres Martin39c31.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.151,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Andres Martin63c30.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3491051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e79…22e3backed Christopher O'Connell49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511756.4%66 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Christopher O'Connell42c28.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.021,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcd…3fcfbacked Andres Martin73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48769%60 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Andres Martin52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0652552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Andres Martin70c26.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.