Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492193f856940dab98d1a37c2023a40945ec4d15597f5983725ee1ea9b93137c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 4,286$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.65 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 3,874$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.07 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 3,872$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 2,363$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.1 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked FURIA Esports | 44c | 1,288$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…4d60backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 1,284$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses | 9c | 943.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 867.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.71 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 825.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.55 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 711.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 633$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed Evil Geniuses | 16c | 553.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Evil Geniuses | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 437.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…4c30backed Evil Geniuses | 54c | 417.37$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 406.29$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 400.78$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 382$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 369$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 257.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 239.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Evil Geniuses | 58c | 227.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 213.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed FURIA Esports | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Evil Geniuses | 53c | 199.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 199.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 178.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 165.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 160.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports | 77c | 121.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 119.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Evil Geniuses | 15c | 119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 118.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…005dbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 98.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 87.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Evil Geniuses | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…124dbacked FURIA Esports | 77c | 86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 85.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Evil Geniuses | 53c | 85.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…4465backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 74.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 70.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 64.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 62.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 59.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 49.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Evil Geniuses | 53c | 43.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 326 | 57.4%187 W · 139 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 43.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Evil Geniuses | 50c | 41.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…6254backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 39.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…62e6backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 35.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed Evil Geniuses | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Evil Geniuses | 37c | 30.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Evil Geniuses | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c7…2a0abacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 26.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FURIA Esports | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…d38bbacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…370bbacked FURIA Esports | 61c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed Evil Geniuses | 57c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.