Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ee02cdb54a6062b3f69be1a50c08c377581d022081b988de858ff6d49f557e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof FURIA Esports, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Evil Geniuses | 39c | 4,914$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.78 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 4,452$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.89 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 4,025$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.45 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 71c | 3,147$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.55 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Evil Geniuses | 57c | 2,696$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.46 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Evil Geniuses | 52c | 2,485$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.62 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports | 68c | 1,884$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.63 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 58c | 1,873$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.86 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…1e24backed FURIA Esports | 27c | 1,859$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses | 62c | 1,226$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…4d60backed Evil Geniuses | 41c | 1,223$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 1,104$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.24 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Evil Geniuses | 65c | 1,088$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.97 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Evil Geniuses | 48c | 733.48$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.23 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…e45fbacked Evil Geniuses | 39c | 619.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Evil Geniuses | 49c | 576$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Evil Geniuses | 41c | 552.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses | 49c | 507$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 501.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Evil Geniuses | 60c | 402.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed FURIA Esports | 76c | 370.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 331$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Evil Geniuses | 45c | 310.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Evil Geniuses | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked FURIA Esports | 31c | 295.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed FURIA Esports | 20c | 285.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 274.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Evil Geniuses | 39c | 253.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports | 14c | 240$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses | 38c | 237.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 235.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Evil Geniuses | 29c | 218$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 203.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Evil Geniuses | 43c | 173.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Evil Geniuses | 30c | 172.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 137.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 134.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Evil Geniuses | 40c | 125.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked FURIA Esports | 74c | 103.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses | 41c | 103.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 100.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 97.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 96.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses | 38c | 88.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…62e6backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 77.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FURIA Esports | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 70.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed FURIA Esports | 43c | 69.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 60.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…be8ebacked Evil Geniuses | 46c | 60.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Evil Geniuses | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 57.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ad…a25fbacked Evil Geniuses | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 52.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 51.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…4465backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 46.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Evil Geniuses | 37c | 46.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Evil Geniuses | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…6f31backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 45.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Evil Geniuses | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 39.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 39.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…b11cbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 34.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…bee1backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 32.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 32.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 32.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Evil Geniuses | 46c | 32.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 32.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Evil Geniuses | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked FURIA Esports | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 25.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Evil Geniuses | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed FURIA Esports | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.