CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ece7278adf1f287b6c02eb8affab94d05224fd8d0527341ad2091b575e54c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Astralis | 51c | 17,935$9,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,146.74 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 30c | 15,059$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Nemesis | 77c | 7,309$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.08 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 45c | 6,297$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 47c | 6,279$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.83 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 5,014$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.68 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Astralis | 26c | 4,933$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.56 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Astralis | 52c | 4,930$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 4,229$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 4,050$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 3,142$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Astralis | 35c | 3,007$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 2,832$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.48 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 2,730$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Astralis | 54c | 2,722$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.17 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 2,506$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.84 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 2,070$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.18 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 29c | 2,040$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Astralis | 34c | 2,034$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 2,000$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.56 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 1,902$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.87 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 27c | 1,853$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.71 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 53c | 1,844$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.41 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Astralis | 51c | 1,831$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.97 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,700$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.29 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Astralis | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Astralis | 44c | 1,425$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.26 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 40c | 1,394$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.35 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 1,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 31c | 1,351$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 1,330$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.69 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,297$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.68 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Astralis | 39c | 1,264$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 1,234$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.9 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Astralis | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 31c | 1,149$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.05 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Astralis | 24c | 1,144$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,087$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.09 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 31c | 1,063$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 1,000$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.83 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Astralis | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 27c | 998.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 985.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…7125backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Astralis | 45c | 909.93$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.46 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 46c | 872.86$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.83 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 20c | 865.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 855.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.49 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Astralis | 1c | 840$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Astralis | 24c | 836.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 22c | 828$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Astralis | 47c | 790.94$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.39 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 758.62$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 753.63$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Astralis | 37c | 752.73$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b4…7f09backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 722.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 700$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.29 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 699.53$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.79 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 678$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Astralis | 14c | 673.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Astralis | 21c | 652.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Astralis | 48c | 641$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.01 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Astralis | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…c1c2backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 620.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Astralis | 46c | 618.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Astralis | 51c | 599.95$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 558.6$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.13 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Astralis | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Astralis | 41c | 549$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.09 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Astralis | 39c | 524.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Astralis | 30c | 514.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 513.61$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Astralis | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 500$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Astralis | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Astralis | 52c | 499.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Astralis | 20c | 486.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 16c | 485.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 52c | 476.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Astralis | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Astralis | 45c | 471.59$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.46 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 454.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 454$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Astralis | 53c | 449.46$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 446.75$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 444.63$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.