CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7caf5d691a38be5f8e375c2e0c5e7b61bdaff27fa031600fc386b5012ede9448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Team Nemesis, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,371,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,525,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,371,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 864 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 135,595$45,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,296.44 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Astralis | 39c | 54,700$21,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,636.69 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Astralis | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.99 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 33,745$15,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,579.14 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 27,736$12,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,759.64 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 22,356$7,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,848.38 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Astralis | 38c | 21,394$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,178.59 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Astralis | 61c | 18,033$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,032.79 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 17,049$10,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.38 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 16,617$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.44 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…5ccdbacked Astralis | 38c | 16,444$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,246.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis | 53c | 15,128$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.21 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis | 63c | 14,575$9,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.79 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 14,556$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.74 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 14,555$8,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.38 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 14,366$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,888.15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 13,906$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.4 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5a…a421backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 13,871$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 12,554$7,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,783.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 49c | 12,268$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.1 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Astralis | 38c | 12,205$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,567.03 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 12,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.3 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 12,000$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.47 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 11,999$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.11 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 65c | 11,807$7,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.45 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Astralis | 61c | 11,655$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.98 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 11,147$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 10,908$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.5 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Astralis | 60c | 10,692$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 10,610$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.1 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 10,607$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.85 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Astralis | 58c | 10,448$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.77 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 53c | 9,618$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.79 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 9,532$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.28 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Astralis | 33c | 9,091$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090.91 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 8,894$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Astralis | 49c | 8,400$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.06 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Astralis | 60c | 8,178$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Astralis | 38c | 8,126$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 7,899$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.61 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Astralis | 40c | 7,304$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.07 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…0325backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 7,151$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 7,000$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 6,635$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.99 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Astralis | 38c | 6,619$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.96 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 6,434$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.35 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Astralis | 62c | 6,342$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.27 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Astralis | 68c | 6,322$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.58 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 6,210$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Astralis | 53c | 6,163$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.67 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Astralis | 49c | 5,895$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.59 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Astralis | 61c | 5,500$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.98 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 5,319$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 5,295$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 5,263$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.06 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 5,222$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.8 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 5,184$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.17 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 5,089$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Astralis | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Astralis | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 4,872$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.58 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 4,761$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.18 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 4,551$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.6 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 4,424$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.4 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Astralis | 39c | 4,384$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.24 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Astralis | 61c | 4,252$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Astralis | 50c | 4,234$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.55 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 4,153$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.31 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 4,147$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 4,137$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 4,107$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Astralis | 39c | 4,092$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.91 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 4,056$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.16 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 4,044$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 3,982$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.37 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…fdfebacked Astralis | 61c | 3,885$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Astralis | 78c | 3,848$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.83 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 3,789$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.41 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Astralis | 63c | 3,775$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.69 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Astralis | 45c | 3,710$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Astralis | 59c | 3,645$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Astralis | 39c | 3,635$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Astralis | 55c | 3,614$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.63 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Astralis | 58c | 3,599$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.95 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 3,538$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.34 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…2055backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 3,500$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Astralis | 38c | 3,440$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.8 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 3,435$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.83 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Astralis | 61c | 3,274$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.85 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 3,235$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.87 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Astralis | 61c | 3,189$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.77 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Astralis | 42c | 3,089$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.39 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 3,056$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 2,896$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.24 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.