CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa057e92242f1c25605a752059ba1e45fb4670f00019d9d27372d7ed8ea049e9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 63c | 643.95$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.69 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 629.22$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.78 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 532.4$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 46c | 498.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 46c | 336.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 47c | 318.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 225.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 54c | 202.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 281 | 42.3%119 W · 162 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 42.6%153 W · 206 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 48c | 170.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 38c | 128.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 127$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 39c | 126.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 45c | 124.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 1,634 | 43.2%706 W · 928 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 54c | 94.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 45c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 45c | 54.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 309 | 58.6%181 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 39c | 52.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 38c | 46.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 374 | 54.8%205 W · 169 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 45c | 33.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Under | 55c | 33.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 54c | 23.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…9729backed Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 62c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Team Nemesis won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.