TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof KRÜ Esports, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9166…b479backed Fluxo W7M35c16,186$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.67164.8%46 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports55c5,031$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.5793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports63c4,354$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.2368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed KRÜ Esports49c3,668$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.9240945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KRÜ Esports61c3,601$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.251,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed KRÜ Esports44c2,351$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.5713355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fluxo W7M33c2,144$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Fluxo W7M20c1,495$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8922018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed KRÜ Esports41c1,200$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.985143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KRÜ Esports61c1,097$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.3781134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fluxo W7M62c735.48$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7653355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa233…41f9backed KRÜ Esports23c722.29$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.711464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8e…bc5dbacked Fluxo W7M41c668.12$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed KRÜ Esports55c542.53$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed KRÜ Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KRÜ Esports54c442.73$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.711,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fluxo W7M36c426.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4931227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed KRÜ Esports55c394.74$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.343363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fluxo W7M51c386.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9338950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc8…3f38backed Fluxo W7M39c380.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Fluxo W7M36c367.91$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4519546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Fluxo W7M57c349.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed Fluxo W7M47c330.12$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.664434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Fluxo W7M80c329.25$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9412862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Fluxo W7M32c303$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.234953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Fluxo W7M78c299$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.229046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Fluxo W7M35c286.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4516950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Fluxo W7M40c256.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M50c241.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.491,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed KRÜ Esports31c238.26$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.884542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed KRÜ Esports65c227.69$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fluxo W7M11c222.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports77c202.22$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Esports63c201.73$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6463447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Fluxo W7M52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10453442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Esports63c192.13$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1963955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M62c176.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.771,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a97…7a1bbacked KRÜ Esports54c173.61$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.692871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed KRÜ Esports65c167.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.841752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M59c167$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.081,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M48c153.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.361,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed KRÜ Esports64c149.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.133342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports55c133.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Fluxo W7M70c129.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227a…de71backed Fluxo W7M50c127.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.281957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed KRÜ Esports21c126.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93be…af87backed KRÜ Esports64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked KRÜ Esports39c112.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.910348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed KRÜ Esports65c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M40c109.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4146347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Fluxo W7M69c107.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.384153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be5…4465backed KRÜ Esports66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Fluxo W7M12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126930.4%21 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M12c98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7666438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KRÜ Esports61c97.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fluxo W7M56c95.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M42c91.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.251,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed KRÜ Esports43c87.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked KRÜ Esports36c82.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6116839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Fluxo W7M39c82.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.892142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked KRÜ Esports52c81.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked KRÜ Esports65c79.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287768.8%53 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ef…647cbacked KRÜ Esports47c78.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.464052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed KRÜ Esports27c78.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9618647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fluxo W7M44c73.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4790733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Fluxo W7M34c72.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed KRÜ Esports60c71.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4221457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Fluxo W7M55c69.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2426650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Fluxo W7M39c67.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2924140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed KRÜ Esports52c65.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8139646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52dd…005dbacked Fluxo W7M68c61.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed KRÜ Esports64c60.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.952941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed KRÜ Esports22c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.84528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Fluxo W7M36c59.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.419355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Fluxo W7M37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.56235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Fluxo W7M57c46.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.697247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed KRÜ Esports44c46.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.86457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed KRÜ Esports51c45.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Fluxo W7M45c44.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7732157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Fluxo W7M70c43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KRÜ Esports45c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6599846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed KRÜ Esports67c42.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.114337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Fluxo W7M37c40.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked KRÜ Esports69c39.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.245865.5%38 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd396…6254backed KRÜ Esports64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13bd…a6c5backed KRÜ Esports62c36.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed KRÜ Esports35c35.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Fluxo W7M56c35.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9917948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026d…8fecbacked Fluxo W7M55c32.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Fluxo W7M37c32.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed KRÜ Esports71c31.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.243852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Fluxo W7M70c31.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8711770.9%83 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Fluxo W7M48c29.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.095561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…1512backed KRÜ Esports64c28.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed KRÜ Esports57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7528151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Fluxo W7M41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed Fluxo W7M63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M58c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6857151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…62e6backed KRÜ Esports62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.