Valorant · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2af755d7ea7fbc99ec7979df019d0c9a7643139ea4f06b3fa697b0e18239e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof KRÜ Esports, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6407…d360backed Fluxo W7M | 47c | 278.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked KRÜ Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…2d1dbacked KRÜ Esports | 50c | 99.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed KRÜ Esports | 52c | 76.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed KRÜ Esports | 53c | 76.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Fluxo W7M | 54c | 55.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed KRÜ Esports | 44c | 44.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 37.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)KRÜ Esports won
- Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)KRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.