TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof KRÜ Esports, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked KRÜ Esports66c7,734$5,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.5328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Fluxo W7M25c6,500$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.0932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Fluxo W7M34c5,065$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.9515431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fluxo W7M31c5,060$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.7626447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Fluxo W7M33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.994630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Fluxo W7M33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32026738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Fluxo W7M25c3,600$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.5539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports69c3,347$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.7568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed KRÜ Esports67c3,007$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.3626050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked KRÜ Esports67c2,800$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.1228743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Fluxo W7M30c2,388$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.463834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed KRÜ Esports68c2,265$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.142634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo W7M15c1,793$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9740945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked KRÜ Esports67c1,682$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.973754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports68c1,609$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.4253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Fluxo W7M33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports69c1,256$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Esports68c1,214$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.2163955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed KRÜ Esports67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.852254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fluxo W7M33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed KRÜ Esports67c898.97$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.665962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fluxo W7M34c765$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8328143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed KRÜ Esports68c711.1$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.555650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Fluxo W7M12c705$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7522018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed KRÜ Esports67c650$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.56443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Fluxo W7M31c580.45$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed KRÜ Esports67c562.96$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7825660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Fluxo W7M33c559.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed Fluxo W7M17c515.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.553342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed KRÜ Esports67c510$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.346347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed KRÜ Esports77c466.81$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed KRÜ Esports67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.764860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed KRÜ Esports67c440.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.338357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Fluxo W7M22c397.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.83647.2%17 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20b0…6e2ebacked Fluxo W7M34c356.46$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Fluxo W7M18c354.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6316420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Fluxo W7M20c301.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.984942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fluxo W7M32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9727145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed KRÜ Esports67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Fluxo W7M34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Fluxo W7M34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed Fluxo W7M34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed KRÜ Esports68c287.22$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked KRÜ Esports67c276.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+88.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked KRÜ Esports77c256.64$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8160154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Fluxo W7M23c202.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Fluxo W7M12c189.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Fluxo W7M16c183.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Esports68c173.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5663447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Fluxo W7M34c170.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6110555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Fluxo W7M28c168.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2f…20a5backed Fluxo W7M15c165.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.325839.7%23 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed KRÜ Esports78c161.03$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1314959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Fluxo W7M24c154.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Fluxo W7M34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Fluxo W7M34c139.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4118735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed KRÜ Esports67c138.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.811070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked KRÜ Esports65c134.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0726450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3d…5d2fbacked KRÜ Esports79c125.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.266100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked KRÜ Esports67c124.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.256841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed KRÜ Esports76c120.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5439646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fluxo W7M15c116.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7338950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x845d…aef6backed Fluxo W7M23c114.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.753834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Fluxo W7M26c113$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9822440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked KRÜ Esports66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3488844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked KRÜ Esports68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3240254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M17c97.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.791,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed KRÜ Esports72c97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M13c94.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x085f…7a21backed Fluxo W7M33c88.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.215846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed KRÜ Esports69c87.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0711844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed KRÜ Esports67c87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.716848.5%33 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed KRÜ Esports69c84.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1516963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed KRÜ Esports66c83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2218143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked KRÜ Esports69c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Fluxo W7M20c80.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7769722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Fluxo W7M31c79.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.626055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed KRÜ Esports67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7515560.6%94 W · 61 L+14.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe02f…e825backed KRÜ Esports68c73.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.528100%8 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Fluxo W7M30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206850%34 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fluxo W7M26c64.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8624250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Fluxo W7M31c64.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed KRÜ Esports69c64.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Fluxo W7M25c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1943843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Fluxo W7M30c58.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5755152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed KRÜ Esports77c56.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.978481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed KRÜ Esports67c55.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.488641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed KRÜ Esports68c50.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked KRÜ Esports79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7557151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed KRÜ Esports68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked KRÜ Esports73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Fluxo W7M33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.516142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda62…f654backed Fluxo W7M24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed KRÜ Esports68c43.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0466650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked KRÜ Esports67c43.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486561.5%40 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked KRÜ Esports71c40.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x758d…5d9ebacked KRÜ Esports74c39.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Fluxo W7M28c39.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.099355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed KRÜ Esports68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d5…c84dbacked KRÜ Esports78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.