TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6db…25c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+303.5%+$193.3
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.83
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$165.02
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.14
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$53.13
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.86
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+497.4%+$159.18
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.46
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$86.67
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.68
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$156.87
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 1 Winnerbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$157.85
Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$75.69
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$99.58
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+171.5%+$171.47
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$57.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.