Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c4cfdc48bfda51b61d85b6b56d51af6dde721cdc0de3f9ea2d9fd0d0d1a345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof SK Nebula, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed SK Nebula | 36c | 3,941$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.77 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS Sakura | 39c | 3,210$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.61 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 1,667$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.16 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked SK Nebula | 56c | 819.45$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.31 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SK Nebula | 58c | 788.44$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 727$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.93 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed SK Nebula | 59c | 688.3$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.95 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed FOKUS Sakura | 55c | 655.49$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed SK Nebula | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 57c | 613.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.72 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked SK Nebula | 61c | 481.04$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed FOKUS Sakura | 41c | 475.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SK Nebula | 56c | 416.8$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 393.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 388.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.23 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed SK Nebula | 59c | 338.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed SK Nebula | 62c | 323.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS Sakura | 74c | 305.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SK Nebula | 33c | 285.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed SK Nebula | 63c | 283.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Nebula | 66c | 270.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 253.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed SK Nebula | 71c | 250$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed SK Nebula | 53c | 248.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FOKUS Sakura | 39c | 247.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.86 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 229.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS Sakura | 73c | 211.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 202.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed SK Nebula | 61c | 201$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked FOKUS Sakura | 31c | 197.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…6af8backed SK Nebula | 68c | 193.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…3220backed SK Nebula | 67c | 192.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 73c | 189.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS Sakura | 53c | 169.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed SK Nebula | 68c | 165.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 163.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Nebula | 21c | 160.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SK Nebula | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked SK Nebula | 60c | 149.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed FOKUS Sakura | 38c | 144.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 139.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SK Nebula | 53c | 137.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed FOKUS Sakura | 32c | 133.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SK Nebula | 59c | 125.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 125.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 125.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed FOKUS Sakura | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed FOKUS Sakura | 35c | 124.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed SK Nebula | 64c | 121.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS Sakura | 59c | 115.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d024backed FOKUS Sakura | 34c | 113.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed FOKUS Sakura | 67c | 112.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 104.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…0c23backed FOKUS Sakura | 38c | 100.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked FOKUS Sakura | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 91.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Nebula | 63c | 87.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked FOKUS Sakura | 41c | 85.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked SK Nebula | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SK Nebula | 67c | 80.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 54c | 78.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed SK Nebula | 68c | 77.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed FOKUS Sakura | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FOKUS Sakura | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked SK Nebula | 63c | 70.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed FOKUS Sakura | 43c | 70.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 65.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed SK Nebula | 42c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3df…2d82backed SK Nebula | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SK Nebula | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SK Nebula | 60c | 57.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SK Nebula | 63c | 54.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…b8debacked FOKUS Sakura | 29c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 53.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fc52backed FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked SK Nebula | 69c | 49.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed FOKUS Sakura | 37c | 41.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed SK Nebula | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed SK Nebula | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SK Nebula | 59c | 35.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked SK Nebula | 55c | 33.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 32.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked SK Nebula | 63c | 31.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed FOKUS Sakura | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SK Nebula | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked SK Nebula | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed FOKUS Sakura | 39c | 29.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…6175backed SK Nebula | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked FOKUS Sakura | 43c | 26.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed SK Nebula | 52c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked SK Nebula | 66c | 25.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.