Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ad5ca3d6bc3cc94c1ae399d6ea89c25b1170cc709de8d3ffdf9ee1facf49bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof Karmine Corp GC, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Karmine Corp GC | 50c | 1,314$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.66 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 1,038$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FOKUS Sakura | 51c | 590.54$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Karmine Corp GC | 36c | 394.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Karmine Corp GC | 46c | 294.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 187.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp GC | 42c | 113.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FOKUS Sakura | 56c | 108.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 92.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed FOKUS Sakura | 55c | 88.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 83.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Karmine Corp GC | 54c | 76.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 69.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Karmine Corp GC | 32c | 61.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp GC | 28c | 52.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FOKUS Sakura | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS Sakura | 66c | 49.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 54c | 33.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Karmine Corp GC | 54c | 23.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Karmine Corp GC | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…97c4backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.