TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUS Sakuraof Karmine Corp GC, FOKUS Sakura
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f0e…7397backed Karmine Corp GC34c5,960$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.972133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS Sakura66c5,894$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.2319860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS Sakura65c1,210$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4216952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp GC27c1,056$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.271,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed FOKUS Sakura64c975.1$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0434356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp GC35c762$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FOKUS Sakura66c688.85$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2125556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed FOKUS Sakura66c606$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.042955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed FOKUS Sakura64c549.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FOKUS Sakura66c500$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5922449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Karmine Corp GC28c460$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.859737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Karmine Corp GC35c427.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2728252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked FOKUS Sakura63c390.01$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.216639.4%26 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Karmine Corp GC34c323.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.557544%33 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb6…f7c4backed Karmine Corp GC52c305.37$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05e…0c23backed Karmine Corp GC39c301.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp GC11c287.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.11,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x845d…aef6backed Karmine Corp GC35c274.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.923834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp GC20c260.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS Sakura79c250.77$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.271,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked FOKUS Sakura78c229.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0717642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Karmine Corp GC35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed FOKUS Sakura66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2723463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp GC19c219.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9639646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Karmine Corp GC36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Karmine Corp GC36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS Sakura72c199.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.240254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS Sakura58c199.28$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.441,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FOKUS Sakura78c177$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked FOKUS Sakura56c176.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3619751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Karmine Corp GC35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp GC34c171$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1428143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked FOKUS Sakura63c158.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.57433.8%25 W · 49 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed FOKUS Sakura66c151.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked FOKUS Sakura68c150.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.762856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Karmine Corp GC35c146.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.748349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b88…0103backed FOKUS Sakura60c146.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Karmine Corp GC35c142$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.74946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Karmine Corp GC35c138.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9515147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked FOKUS Sakura63c138$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.462832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e75…d0aabacked FOKUS Sakura77c135.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Karmine Corp GC48c131.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Karmine Corp GC35c129.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Karmine Corp GC35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed FOKUS Sakura67c119$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2714254.9%78 W · 64 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Karmine Corp GC34c117.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408748.3%42 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp GC38c116.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.181,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed Karmine Corp GC35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Karmine Corp GC35c114.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp GC27c112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed FOKUS Sakura67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3317557.1%100 W · 75 L+15.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacf2…d024backed Karmine Corp GC22c98.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Karmine Corp GC34c91.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.228743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed FOKUS Sakura55c90.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed FOKUS Sakura76c90.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.95248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Karmine Corp GC34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Karmine Corp GC35c83.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2712550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed FOKUS Sakura63c83.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.996454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Karmine Corp GC18c82.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb3…fc52backed Karmine Corp GC37c78.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed FOKUS Sakura65c76.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.885464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Karmine Corp GC37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Karmine Corp GC15c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9846347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff95…9064backed FOKUS Sakura69c70.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.032356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Karmine Corp GC36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Karmine Corp GC36c62.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp GC34c61.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.822346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp GC33c61.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1765347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe66…8729backed Karmine Corp GC25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked FOKUS Sakura71c58.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1512261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…59d9backed Karmine Corp GC35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010543.8%46 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed Karmine Corp GC35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp GC34c56.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1266650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS Sakura71c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp GC35c53.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6160154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Karmine Corp GC31c49.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked FOKUS Sakura64c49.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp GC23c49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed FOKUS Sakura65c48.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.876570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbcf4…e669backed FOKUS Sakura63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e5b…fc11backed FOKUS Sakura80c42.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.672564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed FOKUS Sakura79c40.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.511040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Karmine Corp GC34c37.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.716952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed FOKUS Sakura64c37.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3913661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Karmine Corp GC33c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9814345.5%65 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp GC46c35.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4170043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed FOKUS Sakura64c34.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3813261.4%81 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39de…1b55backed FOKUS Sakura64c28.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Karmine Corp GC36c28.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.233943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed FOKUS Sakura48c27.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3521641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked FOKUS Sakura79c25.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked FOKUS Sakura79c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ca…cdadbacked FOKUS Sakura66c23.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.01955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a3…78b4backed FOKUS Sakura61c19.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed FOKUS Sakura67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0512640.5%51 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.