Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc07f84d17ed5c94013a15dd155c07c5a7111e3053f4f1b8de0615f8fcf502f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof Karmine Corp GC, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 746.18$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 721.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp GC | 45c | 591.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.42 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 533$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.06 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed FOKUS Sakura | 41c | 501.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 286.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp GC | 43c | 242$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp GC | 43c | 238.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp GC | 43c | 206.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 55c | 204.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp GC | 56c | 178.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 166.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 165$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed FOKUS Sakura | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 40c | 141.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…7d63backed Karmine Corp GC | 50c | 130.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 54c | 109.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FOKUS Sakura | 66c | 102.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp GC | 51c | 101.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Karmine Corp GC | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked FOKUS Sakura | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 41c | 92.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 513 | 44.6%229 W · 284 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed FOKUS Sakura | 67c | 85.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 56c | 81.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp GC | 37c | 81.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Karmine Corp GC | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Karmine Corp GC | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Karmine Corp GC | 72c | 67.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Karmine Corp GC | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 45.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 76c | 39.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 277 | 60.6%168 W · 109 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed FOKUS Sakura | 62c | 36.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed FOKUS Sakura | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 56c | 29.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 326 | 57.4%187 W · 139 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 42c | 26.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Karmine Corp GC | 46c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp GC | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…5df6backed Karmine Corp GC | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS Sakura | 55c | 18.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.