Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7285c9812b5fe64210bbff141a6bf448bb3744fd6df9813a3b67a50361be0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof SK Nebula, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 0c | 24,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp GC | 6c | 2,145$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Karmine Corp GC | 32c | 1,022$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed SK Nebula | 72c | 662.35$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed SK Nebula | 67c | 519.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 430.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Karmine Corp GC | 30c | 336.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 325.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 311.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked SK Nebula | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp GC | 29c | 290.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 267.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Karmine Corp GC | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SK Nebula | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked SK Nebula | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 183.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed Karmine Corp GC | 30c | 171.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SK Nebula | 70c | 169.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed Karmine Corp GC | 30c | 167.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SK Nebula | 69c | 154.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 73c | 139.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Karmine Corp GC | 32c | 126.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…bb34backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 119.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed SK Nebula | 69c | 119$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed SK Nebula | 69c | 116.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked SK Nebula | 70c | 107.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 107.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 103.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed SK Nebula | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Nebula | 69c | 89.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 27c | 88.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked SK Nebula | 68c | 71.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Nebula | 70c | 71.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed SK Nebula | 69c | 62.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 66c | 61.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SK Nebula | 66c | 60.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SK Nebula | 69c | 50.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fc52backed Karmine Corp GC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed SK Nebula | 71c | 45.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula | 59c | 41.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked SK Nebula | 70c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SK Nebula | 71c | 35.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Karmine Corp GC | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked SK Nebula | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SK Nebula | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SK Nebula | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SK Nebula | 70c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SK Nebula | 69c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…cca8backed SK Nebula | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed SK Nebula | 68c | 26.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed SK Nebula | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked SK Nebula | 71c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked SK Nebula | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…7a5dbacked SK Nebula | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed SK Nebula | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerSK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 WinnerSK Nebula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.