Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc1021fdda9a1b9c6d95aad6a06047a0ba4227241ef9819c03fba0ddbff5d926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof SK Nebula, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 700$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed SK Nebula | 72c | 629$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…be15backed Karmine Corp GC | 39c | 452.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SK Nebula | 57c | 300.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp GC | 69c | 203.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SK Nebula | 20c | 198.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed SK Nebula | 28c | 178.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp GC | 78c | 159.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Karmine Corp GC | 66c | 151.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked SK Nebula | 52c | 150.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 44c | 105.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SK Nebula | 46c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SK Nebula | 45c | 101.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed SK Nebula | 56c | 101.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 95.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Karmine Corp GC | 44c | 90.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7050backed SK Nebula | 41c | 65.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SK Nebula | 20c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed SK Nebula | 69c | 60.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 59c | 51.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed SK Nebula | 45c | 50.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…8729backed Karmine Corp GC | 29c | 45.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed SK Nebula | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula | 67c | 27.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked SK Nebula | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 277 | 60.6%168 W · 109 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageSK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerSK Nebula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.