TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2753…bb34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Dbacked Vitality Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+649.3%+$91.22
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.91
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+215.3%+$41.24
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+741.6%+$199.86
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.85
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$60.48
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.88
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.47
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$18.6
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.78
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$4.83
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$15.02
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group Cbacked Vitality Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.43
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$400.75
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.36
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.55
National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$42.62
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.95
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.87
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$103.55
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.05
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$52.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.42
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Colombia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.33
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.79
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$66.35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+397.2%+$65.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+473.3%+$123.06
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$191.31
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+157.8%+$60.66
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.33
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.04
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.