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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Resilienceof Midas Club, Team Resilience
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Midas Club28c30,779$8,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,610.9671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Midas Club41c14,904$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,110.6323435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Resilience61c12,090$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,774.411,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed Midas Club41c9,578$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.471838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Midas Club36c8,550$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.189954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience71c7,067$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.3253764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience71c7,058$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience57c5,224$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.341,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Resilience59c5,105$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.923561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Resilience62c3,557$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.0129160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Team Resilience60c3,377$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.56342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Midas Club26c3,227$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.511,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Resilience60c3,032$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.7412350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Midas Club38c2,968$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.8816248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Resilience59c2,964$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.632549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Resilience58c2,646$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.2518351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Midas Club7c2,050$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience59c1,884$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Midas Club6c1,670$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011656%65 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Resilience60c1,630$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65261057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Midas Club14c1,605$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1389238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Midas Club1c1,600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Midas Club69c1,452$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Midas Club27c1,256$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.950353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd7…7e74backed Team Resilience59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience38c1,163$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.921,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Resilience59c1,161$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.017350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Midas Club3c1,131$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2210251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Midas Club44c1,073$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4723351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Team Resilience80c1,069$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.029063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked Team Resilience60c1,068$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Midas Club8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Midas Club42c1,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4159440.4%38 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Resilience60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40027060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Midas Club40c948.73$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Midas Club22c942$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2479341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Team Resilience66c905.43$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8515848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Midas Club40c868.9$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Midas Club3c864.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9823736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Midas Club44c851.5$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.666844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Midas Club39c833.97$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.385354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Midas Club23c831.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.51,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Midas Club26c811.92$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.071,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Midas Club42c782.07$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6735737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Midas Club11c777$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.582540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Resilience56c759.63$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2460349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Midas Club38c709.08$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.911847.5%56 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Resilience77c701.92$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4479959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed Midas Club40c671.44$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Midas Club4c646$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9625143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Team Resilience64c640$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Resilience57c610.05$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7437745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Midas Club21c604.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9266545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Midas Club23c599.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Resilience58c539.56$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.799844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Team Resilience57c526.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2122438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Midas Club28c506.53$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Midas Club6c500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6692056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Midas Club33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16518437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Team Resilience32c499.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.997265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Midas Club40c499.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9643738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Resilience67c494.19$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0831248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Midas Club37c488.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.221,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Midas Club40c478.42$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.716342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked Midas Club39c476$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.482142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience57c457.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8947748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0070…17febacked Midas Club2c441.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Midas Club38c425.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16315546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Midas Club11c413.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9516539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Resilience57c409.04$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5430357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Midas Club18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211444.7%51 W · 63 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc043…eb1bbacked Team Resilience67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e13…b01bbacked Team Resilience62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Midas Club4c399.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1896245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Resilience62c392.22$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1161449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8c…da6cbacked Midas Club66c386.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.312236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Team Resilience65c373.89$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.173542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Midas Club45c372.1$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.68261%50 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Midas Club41c357.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0941455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Midas Club21c350.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2521328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Midas Club40c347.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Team Resilience61c338.14$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8813258.3%77 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Midas Club55c328.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1565647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Team Resilience61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8720542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed Team Resilience61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.876654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Resilience62c322.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6217948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Midas Club43c320.2$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.443860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Midas Club29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Resilience61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11733445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Midas Club40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8326445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Midas Club16c299.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.994050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Midas Club76c290.17$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Resilience57c290$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.719338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Midas Club40c260.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056050%30 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Team Resilience59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Midas Club18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc71…7ddfbacked Midas Club23c235.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.242133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Midas Club44c232.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.394641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Midas Club43c228.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed Midas Club40c227.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917635.5%27 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.