Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa56b3ba0c2590d4ab6768de18ed0b6215e70f1a289ebc2b03f0875ae2d1076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Midas Club, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 12,936$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.19 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Resilience | 65c | 10,880$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.58 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Midas Club | 37c | 9,958$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.26 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Midas Club | 36c | 6,574$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.19 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience | 76c | 4,695$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.96 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 71c | 4,150$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.79 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Midas Club | 51c | 3,949$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Resilience | 60c | 3,927$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.59 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Team Resilience | 60c | 3,846$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Midas Club | 55c | 3,832$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.6 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 3,337$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.8 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Midas Club | 41c | 2,693$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.68 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Resilience | 59c | 2,503$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.99 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Midas Club | 7c | 2,264$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Midas Club | 36c | 1,600$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Resilience | 57c | 1,575$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.06 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Resilience | 60c | 1,494$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.12 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Midas Club | 38c | 1,346$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Midas Club | 42c | 1,267$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Midas Club | 45c | 1,232$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.2 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Resilience | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Midas Club | 37c | 1,150$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.83 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Midas Club | 36c | 1,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Midas Club | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Midas Club | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Midas Club | 22c | 1,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Team Resilience | 64c | 989.9$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Resilience | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Midas Club | 60c | 877.12$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.27 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 55c | 868.61$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Midas Club | 21c | 811.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Midas Club | 48c | 784.5$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Midas Club | 49c | 777.03$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.79 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 767.95$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Midas Club | 35c | 753.93$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Midas Club | 14c | 732$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Midas Club | 50c | 717.61$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Midas Club | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Resilience | 55c | 635$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Midas Club | 45c | 635$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Midas Club | 44c | 622.73$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 574$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…c1bebacked Midas Club | 37c | 556.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Resilience | 55c | 547.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Midas Club | 41c | 545$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Midas Club | 43c | 530.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Midas Club | 29c | 526.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked Team Resilience | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Midas Club | 23c | 500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Midas Club | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Midas Club | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Resilience | 51c | 499.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Midas Club | 43c | 492.77$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Midas Club | 35c | 487.58$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Midas Club | 34c | 484.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Midas Club | 56c | 468.33$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Midas Club | 46c | 450.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Midas Club | 44c | 444.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Midas Club | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 54c | 421.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.03 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Team Resilience | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Midas Club | 50c | 409.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…2e7bbacked Midas Club | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Midas Club | 6c | 363.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Midas Club | 20c | 355.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Resilience | 61c | 344.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Midas Club | 45c | 332.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Midas Club | 36c | 317.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Midas Club | 47c | 317.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Midas Club | 37c | 292.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Midas Club | 47c | 290$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Midas Club | 32c | 285.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Midas Club | 21c | 271$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Midas Club | 59c | 270.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Resilience | 55c | 262.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Midas Club | 46c | 262.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Resilience | 55c | 251$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…15e0backed Team Resilience | 65c | 249.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Midas Club | 44c | 249.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Midas Club | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Resilience | 56c | 179.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Team Resilience | 56c | 178.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Midas Club | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Team Resilience | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Resilience | 52c | 170.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Team Resilience | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Midas Club | 34c | 167.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Midas Club | 40c | 166.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Midas Club | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Team Resilience | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Midas Club | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -9.1wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Midas Club | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Midas Club | 56c | 142.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Midas Club | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed Team Resilience | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Team Resilience | 55c | 129.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Team Resilience | 56c | 127.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Midas Club | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Group BTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerMidas Club won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.