TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,408,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,537,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,408,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fff…265cbacked Vici Gaming42c229,069$96,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,275.473234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid61c198,603$120,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,311.4812259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Vici Gaming24c117,459$27,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,707.769733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid59c109,328$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,328.281,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid80c44,438$35,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,887.5319847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming34c38,683$13,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,270.1923435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid54c33,736$18,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,583.2289341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f3c…0cf1backed Team Liquid51c31,777$16,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,596.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Vici Gaming56c30,040$16,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,854.113951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Vici Gaming36c29,923$10,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,624.339339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Vici Gaming35c27,469$9,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,584.6515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming39c24,554$9,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,645.4512348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team Liquid72c21,100$15,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Vici Gaming27c20,849$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,629.3327645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming45c20,082$9,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,111.5171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid59c20,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10024246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid52c19,466$10,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,336.4421155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming38c18,833$7,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,074.7733453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid46c18,013$8,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,693.6853451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Team Liquid72c18,001$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid63c17,675$11,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.7816746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Vici Gaming35c14,245$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.689636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb529…f3ffbacked Team Liquid73c14,044$10,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid50c13,617$6,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,808.2645139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…4f8abacked Vici Gaming49c13,395$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,600.431650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid62c13,355$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.361,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b08…3f60backed Vici Gaming0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid74c12,000$8,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1603164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+58.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Team Liquid63c10,884$6,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.313852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Team Liquid64c10,200$6,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.992955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid57c9,582$5,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.0150850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Team Liquid80c9,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Vici Gaming37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3305145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Vici Gaming26c8,897$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.3615848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Liquid71c8,714$6,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.2518560.5%112 W · 73 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid49c8,209$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.391,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Team Liquid75c8,015$6,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Liquid49c7,437$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800.4318551.4%95 W · 90 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Team Liquid58c7,387$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.033351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Vici Gaming29c6,900$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0013953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Team Liquid66c6,061$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.611855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming43c6,030$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.992,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming28c6,003$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.8636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Team Liquid74c5,960$4,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.612958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Vici Gaming44c5,863$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.7350449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Vici Gaming28c5,830$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.336535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Vici Gaming28c5,762$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.49839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Team Liquid73c5,551$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.6734860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid58c5,467$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.141,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Vici Gaming52c5,021$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.5315050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vici Gaming27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Team Liquid60c5,000$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Vici Gaming28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.981844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid57c4,938$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.3722853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid40c4,936$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97332549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid48c4,860$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.9910537.1%39 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming44c4,765$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09072035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Liquid73c4,363$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.9623336.9%86 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming23c4,335$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.2529348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming39c4,280$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.6969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vici Gaming48c4,193$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.4337632.2%121 W · 255 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6729…f17dbacked Team Liquid73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Vici Gaming28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming48c4,000$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.4636343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Team Liquid72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Team Liquid71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Vici Gaming47c3,967$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.8123561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid73c3,800$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02614136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed Team Liquid73c3,700$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Vici Gaming36c3,679$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.3131444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming39c3,647$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.6650347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid53c3,583$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.9741056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…02d3backed Vici Gaming29c3,453$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.371225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Vici Gaming55c3,385$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.479658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Liquid53c3,350$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.1425143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Liquid62c3,221$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.38757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Vici Gaming13c3,218$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebae…fb79backed Vici Gaming28c3,160$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1a…83eabacked Vici Gaming62c3,099$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming52c3,022$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.0745352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed Vici Gaming36c3,006$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.941838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x835e…1a02backed Team Liquid51c3,003$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Team Liquid72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Team Liquid48c3,000$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57529546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Vici Gaming20c3,000$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.947634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid61c2,940$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.8496357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Team Liquid75c2,700$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Vici Gaming62c2,679$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.929852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Vici Gaming35c2,640$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Liquid67c2,635$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6919456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Vici Gaming31c2,528$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1418844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6755339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Vici Gaming49c2,429$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19033645.5%153 W · 183 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Team Liquid65c2,415$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.382070%14 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed Vici Gaming35c2,411$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.688648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming49c2,410$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.5541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming31c2,404$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.3837146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Team Liquid72c2,400$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6722931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.