TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$733,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$857,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid68c112,625$76,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,740.991,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Vici Gaming26c60,000$15,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,446.69733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming30c47,690$14,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,416.2489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming30c39,701$11,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,961.1371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming31c35,000$10,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,849.9947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming30c30,315$9,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,094.6423435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid71c25,000$17,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.9912348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Vici Gaming20c21,997$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.889339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid69c20,414$14,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,330.8515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked Vici Gaming31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2004942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid69c19,383$13,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,008.0650347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid74c18,984$14,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.8512259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Vici Gaming28c18,000$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,084.5632549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid69c11,495$7,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.5213960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Team Liquid69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1005145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming29c10,000$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.7530452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Team Liquid76c9,795$7,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.633275%24 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming30c9,607$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8821,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Vici Gaming30c9,604$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.29736.1%35 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid68c8,743$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.4753451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming27c8,330$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.541,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Vici Gaming29c7,287$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.1512858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f3c…0cf1backed Team Liquid63c6,666$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming32c6,075$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.0712141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid77c6,000$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.2592056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid80c6,000$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22033453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vici Gaming38c5,515$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.6545139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid79c5,056$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.4716553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60041242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Team Liquid70c5,000$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.622955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming20c4,649$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.5965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed Vici Gaming26c4,553$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Team Liquid69c4,500$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.9914943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming28c4,398$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.981,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid77c4,330$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.910537.1%39 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid70c4,286$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7129160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid77c4,102$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.2753764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Vici Gaming23c4,068$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.718950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Vici Gaming32c4,020$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.171650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32025446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Liquid68c3,723$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.1832445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Liquid76c3,521$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.2522031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid74c3,241$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.4745352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid73c3,047$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid79c3,029$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0623561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Vici Gaming22c2,939$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.1818660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid74c2,894$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.982,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed Vici Gaming31c2,861$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.528648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid65c2,819$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.550850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming28c2,770$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.531055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid69c2,755$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.9141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid75c2,753$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.9791553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming30c2,509$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6957449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming37c2,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.9934442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming28c2,405$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.321,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Liquid80c2,325$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9110075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Vici Gaming40c2,147$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.120642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid79c2,062$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.6369132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed Team Liquid67c2,000$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6658958.4%52 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Vici Gaming29c1,998$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3229546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming32c1,951$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.3589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid77c1,912$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.4718844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Vici Gaming2c1,800$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.983323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid70c1,786$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.7161057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Vici Gaming30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51037745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid80c1,699$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Vici Gaming31c1,594$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Vici Gaming20c1,578$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.529535.8%34 W · 61 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Liquid76c1,528$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7410651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Liquid66c1,518$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.659852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…4f8abacked Vici Gaming34c1,513$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.991650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming23c1,500$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.581,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid73c1,400$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Liquid72c1,388$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.437955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid74c1,382$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming28c1,296$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0258356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming21c1,287$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3148539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Liquid64c1,248$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.379855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming26c1,226$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming29c1,216$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2335737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Team Liquid77c1,215$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4912559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Vici Gaming23c1,122$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25814657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid70c1,043$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.781,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming32c1,034$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33168649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31053758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Team Liquid67c932.14$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.944052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid69c929$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.788166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid71c909.68$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3632548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Vici Gaming31c909.68$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa20d…6ba4backed Vici Gaming39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5614751%75 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid71c895.62$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.041,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb9…be64backed Team Liquid68c883.43$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Vici Gaming10c882$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8216232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed Team Liquid79c840$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Vici Gaming26c817$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2520233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Liquid68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25659254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid69c799.97$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.