Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb83b3f1ed18d0a6ca66678dceb337baf8f6c14904fb8653d594ede015e59235d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Liquid, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 17,152$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,711.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Team Liquid | 43c | 9,100$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Team Liquid | 47c | 6,025$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 6,005$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.28 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 49c | 6,000$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.99 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Team Liquid | 43c | 3,640$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,662$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,470$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0e…ea7bbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,870$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,334$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,215$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,180$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,049$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.13 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 932.43$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.24 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 841.71$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.97 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 619.41$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.93 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 603.32$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 527.03$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 46c | 511.87$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Team Liquid | 56c | 509.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.89 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Team Liquid | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 460.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 451.6$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Liquid | 46c | 430.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 49c | 373.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 361.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.09 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 332.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed Team Liquid | 43c | 331.86$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 305.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Team Liquid | 42c | 295.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 258.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 220$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 217.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed Team Liquid | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 208.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…388bbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 195.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 171.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 165.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 163.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 163.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 157.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 154.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Team Liquid | 48c | 151.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Team Liquid | 46c | 148.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 145.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 145.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed Team Liquid | 43c | 144.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 136.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 136.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 127.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Team Liquid | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…b1e1backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 115.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Team Liquid | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Liquid | 42c | 101.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 97.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Liquid | 50c | 95.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Liquid | 51c | 93.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Liquid | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 75.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…fc0ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 74.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Team Liquid | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 67.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team Liquid | 61c | 61.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Team Liquid | 47c | 58.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 51.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8192backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 47.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.