CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf533732b78d2c64a29a1a70f375ffd1f39d32b2024127798ccb4411e77743e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Astralis, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,924,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,219,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,924,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0954…1e1bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 169,503$73,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,003.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Astralis | 33c | 97,932$32,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,122.82 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed MOUZ | 56c | 87,800$49,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,636.05 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ | 66c | 74,512$49,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,068.66 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Astralis | 32c | 69,085$22,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,139 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 65c | 55,555$36,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,444.25 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Astralis | 56c | 52,625$29,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,469.95 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 33,000$18,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,880 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 55c | 30,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.93 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…94eebacked MOUZ | 58c | 29,793$17,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,492.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked MOUZ | 66c | 28,025$18,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,528.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed MOUZ | 73c | 27,397$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.26 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 72c | 26,456$19,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,443.23 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 31c | 25,964$7,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,973.8 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed MOUZ | 58c | 25,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 31c | 23,888$7,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.56 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Astralis | 44c | 23,121$10,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,213.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Astralis | 47c | 23,118$10,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Astralis | 56c | 22,222$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444.32 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Astralis | 57c | 20,415$11,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,636.35 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 41c | 19,467$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.69 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 68c | 19,132$13,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.23 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 43c | 15,206$6,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,546.6 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…5e4fbacked Astralis | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Astralis | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.96 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed MOUZ | 66c | 14,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Astralis | 33c | 13,649$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.51 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Astralis | 34c | 13,539$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.6 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 56c | 13,108$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.39 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astralis | 52c | 11,946$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.08 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ | 56c | 10,500$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.99 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 48c | 10,319$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.26 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Astralis | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Astralis | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed MOUZ | 53c | 10,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.38 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 44c | 9,830$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.89 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…398abacked MOUZ | 68c | 9,779$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 27c | 9,040$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.18 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed MOUZ | 45c | 8,874$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.38 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Astralis | 31c | 8,796$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.67 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 69c | 8,393$5,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.3 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Astralis | 1c | 8,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed MOUZ | 50c | 7,500$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Astralis | 12c | 7,500$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…47febacked MOUZ | 45c | 7,352$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed MOUZ | 71c | 7,118$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.53 | 230 | 43.9%101 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Astralis | 33c | 7,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked MOUZ | 51c | 6,907$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.52 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Astralis | 39c | 6,638$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.83 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked MOUZ | 45c | 6,434$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.63 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Astralis | 49c | 6,278$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 68c | 6,155$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.86 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Astralis | 32c | 6,026$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.34 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed MOUZ | 71c | 6,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.98 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Astralis | 4c | 5,977$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 42c | 5,853$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.56 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 39c | 5,671$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.8 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed MOUZ | 58c | 5,660$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.38 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Astralis | 32c | 5,656$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Astralis | 10c | 5,648$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.29 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed MOUZ | 49c | 5,517$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Astralis | 31c | 5,492$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.05 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Astralis | 50c | 5,388$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d914backed Astralis | 8c | 5,386$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 8c | 5,174$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.86 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Astralis | 29c | 5,110$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.1 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Astralis | 54c | 5,051$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.54 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Astralis | 7c | 5,033$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Astralis | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Astralis | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 27c | 4,960$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.66 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 27c | 4,925$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.68 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Astralis | 33c | 4,905$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.7 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 4,846$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.65 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed MOUZ | 44c | 4,754$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.15 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 4,408$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.72 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 46c | 4,350$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.96 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,332$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed MOUZ | 42c | 4,266$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.28 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked MOUZ | 67c | 4,173$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.09 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed MOUZ | 44c | 4,168$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 73c | 4,024$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.34 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Astralis | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Astralis | 15c | 3,956$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.93 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed Astralis | 9c | 3,919$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.75 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Astralis | 50c | 3,827$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.6 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Astralis | 57c | 3,780$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…53fdbacked Astralis | 32c | 3,666$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…0312backed Astralis | 33c | 3,565$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Astralis | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed MOUZ | 66c | 3,297$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ | 73c | 3,280$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.25 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 9c | 3,242$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 50c | 3,242$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Astralis | 33c | 3,217$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.