TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05e7…53fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,498.77
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$264.19
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$547.2
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$279.11
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$240.81
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$209.56
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$164.64
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$64.5
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$75.02
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.46
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$360.8
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$167.62
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$127.1
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$800.28
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$432.32
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$203.51
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$98.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,177.26
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125.03
Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$633.59
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.82
Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smithbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42%+$104.73
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,151.75
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+48%+$1,028.82
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+67.4%+$753.86
St. Brieuc: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Hugo Gastonbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+74%+$591.79
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,899Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,214.06
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$535.39
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$481.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$422.38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.09
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+258%+$1,139.32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+50.1%+$295.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$458.15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$167.27
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$68.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$361.92
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,114.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,269.89
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,153.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$183
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.