TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof KOLESIE, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE25c4,295$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Alliance62c3,066$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.138862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed KOLESIE26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed KOLESIE14c2,774$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.35735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE16c1,906$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.785,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Alliance68c1,530$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.332,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed KOLESIE14c1,528$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5950340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked KOLESIE1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE15c1,395$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.341,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked KOLESIE37c1,381$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed KOLESIE1c1,379$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance78c1,020$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.824,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Alliance76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked KOLESIE1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alliance75c894.49$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.453,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed KOLESIE21c822.13$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2416829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked KOLESIE25c748.32$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9314839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Alliance72c737.89$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.616243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed KOLESIE8c717.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6529934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d4…37a2backed Alliance75c676.35$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.096100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked KOLESIE21c655.25$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.081,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE39c652.32$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.577,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Alliance72c629.77$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3325042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Alliance74c598.62$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.642934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Alliance74c596.21$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.011050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed KOLESIE44c572.11$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7324641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE28c553.93$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.334,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked KOLESIE51c537.39$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.511,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked KOLESIE26c534.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6610442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Alliance58c500.61$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.198856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Alliance75c499.87$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.973345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Alliance56c496.54$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4824942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Alliance76c494.97$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2239946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Alliance73c491.9$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d7…1e7cbacked KOLESIE10c482.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE42c454.51$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.064,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Alliance70c430.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6833960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed KOLESIE7c399.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3322734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Alliance74c397.89$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.457972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x407d…574bbacked Alliance68c396.8$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.027644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Alliance75c394$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.520059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed KOLESIE30c389.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8714839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Alliance53c369.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8931852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Alliance75c352.27$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.659240.2%37 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked KOLESIE26c315.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.918419%16 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE42c308.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.943,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed Alliance63c302.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.547552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked KOLESIE22c299.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed KOLESIE23c292.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.221,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed KOLESIE26c260$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.657641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed KOLESIE14c260$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16333.3%21 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked KOLESIE9c255.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.258515.3%13 W · 72 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked KOLESIE6c250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked KOLESIE44c246.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6527549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Alliance74c246.1$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9917357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…9c7fbacked Alliance74c245.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance47c236.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.671,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE31c233.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.25,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked KOLESIE24c230.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed KOLESIE22c221.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Alliance48c217.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1233237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Alliance75c211.05$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7625147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Alliance74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3413151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed KOLESIE24c199.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9911543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e7…53fdbacked Alliance74c199.94$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked KOLESIE26c199.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.323653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed KOLESIE35c193.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2546843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed KOLESIE26c193.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.261,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Alliance65c191.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.684050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE26c169.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.22,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance72c169.21$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Alliance68c166.36$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed KOLESIE28c163.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.242,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alliance66c162.74$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0310044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Alliance57c161.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked KOLESIE11c160.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked KOLESIE6c160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2431440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked Alliance57c143.57$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.736460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Alliance70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Alliance73c139.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.830062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked KOLESIE47c137.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.624538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Alliance74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5932662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed KOLESIE13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked KOLESIE27c119.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed KOLESIE12c119.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.919852%51 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Alliance76c119.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0521741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked KOLESIE25c111.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8316240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed KOLESIE26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.671,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked KOLESIE24c107.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3635752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked KOLESIE11c103.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2423038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.862,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed KOLESIE21c101.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.867958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Alliance76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2448052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked KOLESIE26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2670038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Alliance75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6225651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked KOLESIE70c98.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.745851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked KOLESIE13c97.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0916311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alliance73c97.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9938942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed KOLESIE12c96.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.534918.4%9 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed KOLESIE41c95.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1579951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.