CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ef0d56bc492074c9692e2bafb15e2236fef93ffc71e92c197e6f4f207059d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 107,051$47,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,077.38 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ | 56c | 31,848$17,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,003.12 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 55c | 18,930$10,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.36 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 16,417$7,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,387.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 13,078$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.81 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 12,792$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.01 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 48c | 11,991$5,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,221.3 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 64c | 11,307$7,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.13 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ | 51c | 10,043$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.83 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.94 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 8,609$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.01 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed MOUZ | 57c | 7,588$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.82 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 7,404$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ | 56c | 7,078$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.34 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 6,336$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.78 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 6,040$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.78 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked MOUZ | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.91 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 5,699$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.55 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed MOUZ | 50c | 5,366$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.3 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…413fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 5,214$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 5,196$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.97 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Aurora Gaming | 0c | 5,084$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…e672backed MOUZ | 55c | 4,931$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed MOUZ | 56c | 4,498$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.02 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 4,428$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked MOUZ | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed MOUZ | 42c | 3,442$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 3,427$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…9d71backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,087$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.47 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ | 44c | 3,052$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.12 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,935$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.49 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,850$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.5 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…3f41backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,715$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 2,680$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.64 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,667$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.49 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 58c | 2,611$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.73 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 2,515$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0de…c36fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,482$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,457$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.4 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…fa5abacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,364$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,333$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.86 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,209$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.4 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,150$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.84 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,075$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.79 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 2,067$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ | 58c | 2,026$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.72 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,000$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.81 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.97 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.75 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,897$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.6 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,802$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,800$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,797$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.56 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,721$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.05 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,686$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.71 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,636$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,538$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.32 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,537$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.27 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…3499backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,453$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.12 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 1,448$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,413$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd455…71ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,388$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,377$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dff…fe35backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,376$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,367$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,363$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.09 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…0626backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 1,278$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…3d22backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,275$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,241$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.38 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fe…44f7backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…c17dbacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,180$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.83 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…d633backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,160$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…21b8backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,122$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,096$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,086$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.64 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,080$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 1,060$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,051$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.06 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,046$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.