CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1a4cc4e60e57cd1356cfa809b0bbdb3ca86fd2f36e11e5ababfafeff914dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ | 61c | 14,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ | 61c | 10,050$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.62 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 9,985$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 72c | 8,385$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.45 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 8,319$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.28 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ | 67c | 7,565$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.61 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed MOUZ | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 7,039$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.47 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 5,182$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed MOUZ | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 5,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.45 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 5,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.96 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,464$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.31 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,120$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.46 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,523$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 3,500$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 448 | 39.1%175 W · 273 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed MOUZ | 62c | 3,462$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 3,405$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.77 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed MOUZ | 51c | 3,112$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.1 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 2,902$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,810$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 2,768$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 2,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,700$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.98 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 2,350$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,327$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.59 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,290$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,964$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.32 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,958$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,866$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 1,760$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.03 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,628$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,614$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.5 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 1,611$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.52 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,601$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.6 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,536$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,365$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,250$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,209$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.71 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,143$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.92 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,104$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.34 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,053$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,018$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 923$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.13 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 907.2$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 899.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed MOUZ | 76c | 893.05$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed MOUZ | 61c | 850.98$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.64 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 827.79$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.27 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 805.41$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked MOUZ | 63c | 780.6$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed MOUZ | 62c | 721.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed MOUZ | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed MOUZ | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 677.61$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ | 70c | 677.26$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed MOUZ | 62c | 667.69$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 658.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 643.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 579.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ | 56c | 555$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 543.71$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 536.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked MOUZ | 75c | 525.79$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 509.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 505.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed MOUZ | 63c | 461.46$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 438.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 428.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 420.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 532 | 44.9%239 W · 293 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 378$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed MOUZ | 59c | 351.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked MOUZ | 57c | 346.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed MOUZ | 59c | 336.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…1181backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 333.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed MOUZ | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 332.82$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ | 77c | 280.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…7cc1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 257.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.