CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b58142213530dfa2a9d7b08346b9b8a7380031ffa4d26eb8e9dcb3c2b00ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 12,649$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.49 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ | 32c | 12,538$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.38 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ | 20c | 7,032$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.55 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 6,744$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.56 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 6,603$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.73 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 6,226$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.92 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 5,000$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked MOUZ | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 4,831$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.48 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed MOUZ | 50c | 4,632$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.81 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed MOUZ | 26c | 4,605$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.31 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 4,161$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.98 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 3,338$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 3,256$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ | 30c | 3,062$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.29 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,697$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.46 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,626$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.89 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 2,485$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.26 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,355$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.69 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,320$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.76 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,252$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.39 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,233$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.19 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 2,233$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,099$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.37 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,873$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.69 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,842$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…0626backed MOUZ | 14c | 1,776$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,604$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.15 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,530$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,519$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.76 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,500$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.76 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 29c | 1,350$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,335$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.1 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,292$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.87 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…1181backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,287$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 951.34$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.5 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 861.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…2730backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 857.88$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ | 20c | 850$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 25c | 811.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.8 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 809.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 748.51$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 730.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.77 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 715.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.2 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 703.68$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 42c | 703.38$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.28 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ | 34c | 638.66$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.33 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked MOUZ | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 53c | 592.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 35c | 588.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MOUZ | 49c | 588$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed MOUZ | 35c | 583.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.14 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed MOUZ | 51c | 565.18$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 545.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed MOUZ | 29c | 535.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.61 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 502.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 479.89$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ | 47c | 476.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 474.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 467.01$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 452.71$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked MOUZ | 15c | 449.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.41 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 432.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 430.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 416.65$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked MOUZ | 38c | 362.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed MOUZ | 26c | 353.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed MOUZ | 23c | 350.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 350.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 331.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked MOUZ | 6c | 320.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.58 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 315$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed MOUZ | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed MOUZ | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed MOUZ | 18c | 299.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed MOUZ | 47c | 289.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…748ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 285.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked MOUZ | 13c | 284.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 268.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 251.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked MOUZ | 10c | 250$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked MOUZ | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed MOUZ | 49c | 249.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.