CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe98216f4c688314e79c65ff3a6a23543e8713ca3bc1deedf9b9fc70db54b1771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.95 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 2,282$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.36 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 48c | 728.47$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.67 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 72c | 602.78$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Over | 55c | 554.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 51c | 512.23$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 53c | 410$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 341.69$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…9b84backed Over | 17c | 330.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 33c | 323.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 30c | 274.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 49c | 273.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Under | 45c | 272$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 49c | 242.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 224.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 198.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 46c | 134.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 17c | 130.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 23c | 101.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Over | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…d286backed Over | 49c | 75.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Over | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 48c | 54.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Under | 55c | 34.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Over | 49c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…6dc0backed Under | 50c | 30.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 137 | 67.9%93 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 49c | 29.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 47c | 22.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 69c | 20.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fc…ddbcbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.