TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb126…f338

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
276
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$5.58
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$25.2
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+125%+$84.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.06
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$45.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$70.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$232.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.5
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$72.16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$22.51
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$15.99
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT8630.2%26 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$19.31
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.2
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.48
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+311.5%+$77.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$100.76
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+391%+$914.9
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.15
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.04
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.9
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$394.68
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.67
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7958.2%46 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.45
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$238.31
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$32.3
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.86
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.78
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$37.72
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.67
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$173.54
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$26.49
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$19
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$136.82
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$23.25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.62
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$15.09
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.