TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof Cloud9, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$547,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$542,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON50c70,000$34,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,30091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Cloud952c61,898$32,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,262.7896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Cloud945c49,045$22,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,116.771,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed LYON44c35,208$15,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,735.5227637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud946c22,955$10,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,648.931,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Cloud951c20,697$10,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,552.0638235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LYON52c20,213$10,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,628.631,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed LYON55c20,152$11,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,969.8610353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Cloud946c13,225$6,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,087.9667553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Cloud950c12,952$6,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,475.9317133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LYON51c12,559$6,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.1776142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LYON48c12,549$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,465.0395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed LYON51c12,494$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.393754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cloud952c11,671$6,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,052.7490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Cloud967c11,626$7,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,785.5667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Cloud956c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9916356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON57c9,838$5,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.751,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked LYON50c9,123$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.219743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Cloud952c8,056$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LYON44c7,991$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.811,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LYON45c7,327$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.7367760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Cloud953c7,172$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.931,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Cloud935c6,991$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.529621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed LYON43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cd0…08f6backed Cloud957c4,814$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.825952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Cloud955c4,516$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.9389943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed LYON51c4,182$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.6327346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Cloud91c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed LYON43c3,891$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Cloud955c3,700$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.979248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Cloud91c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed Cloud953c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud965c3,333$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.441,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked Cloud961c3,251$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.533949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LYON49c3,042$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.1657957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Cloud949c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4709938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked LYON47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59015147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed LYON45c2,957$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.5554756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LYON53c2,812$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.5586943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Cloud950c2,740$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.917339.7%29 W · 44 L-9.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Cloud956c2,505$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.2318953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Cloud955c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.991,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked LYON44c2,200$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.9957246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LYON50c2,156$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.211,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Cloud947c2,085$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98035159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed LYON50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Cloud915c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LYON41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d6…15b7backed Cloud946c1,958$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.999649%47 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cloud934c1,865$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.061,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Cloud936c1,832$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.3464247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Cloud950c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed LYON70c1,579$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.499265.2%60 W · 32 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LYON40c1,577$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.162,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cloud916c1,536$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.493,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cloud933c1,533$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.652,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Cloud953c1,526$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd599…7a1fbacked Cloud951c1,500$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76013842%58 W · 80 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Cloud910c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150628.1%5 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a6…a3e0backed LYON65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cloud934c1,475$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.112,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x644f…8bc9backed LYON69c1,469$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.482556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7618…0c92backed Cloud949c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed LYON49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5726661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked LYON57c1,427$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.6210251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Cloud957c1,406$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked LYON62c1,402$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.915860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb97b…87dcbacked Cloud956c1,400$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6714654.8%80 W · 66 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Cloud955c1,388$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.291,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb51f…71d0backed Cloud954c1,353$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.5111844.1%52 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Cloud955c1,300$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72159554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Cloud951c1,299$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.591,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2c…4959backed Cloud958c1,274$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed LYON45c1,250$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.52740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Cloud955c1,202$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8621749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Cloud93c1,199$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9732939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Cloud950c1,183$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5887451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked LYON47c1,173$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.6230357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LYON43c1,156$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.551,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked LYON44c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1623948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed LYON46c1,085$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.69253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…f0f4backed Cloud950c1,070$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.326266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Cloud957c1,058$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud953c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Cloud955c1,022$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56617647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Cloud951c1,016$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.026051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Cloud958c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Cloud956c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9921948.4%106 W · 113 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Cloud910c912.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2119731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LYON44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Cloud950c886.12$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Cloud950c880.46$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.561,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Cloud910c866.15$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6238439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked LYON44c856.06$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0634651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed LYON48c850$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44212052.5%63 W · 57 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LYON62c831.95$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.121,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed LYON40c807$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.343852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c8e…e23abacked LYON52c805$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.329173.6%67 W · 24 L+13.2wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x44a3…bd1ebacked Cloud951c804.7$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Cloud952c801$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6748844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.