Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e53449f155d441d07ef7f84d8eac3bea7f3a591542c5073f81a64b494fd3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Over | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 73c | 3,282$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.9 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 57c | 826$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.55 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 688.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.29 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Over | 73c | 567.12$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 56c | 504.28$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 46c | 480.12$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 31c | 330$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 69c | 322$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 27c | 302.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.53 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 61c | 295.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 28c | 275.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 19c | 272.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.96 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Over | 73c | 270.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…c985backed Under | 55c | 258.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 73c | 258.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 58c | 168.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 88.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 55c | 80.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 42c | 70.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked Under | 56c | 60.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 48c | 57.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 27c | 49.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Over | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 41c | 40.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 71c | 34.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 77c | 25.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Under | 54c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.