Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eaf1bf2900bdfc45f971b460d40219eeb449209ef28f2ae4ff4c3e8aa03a9b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 49c | 13,265$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.3 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 5,149$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.99 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 4,668$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.67 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 49c | 4,018$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.37 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 2,740$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.34 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 51c | 1,848$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.67 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…2911backed Over | 49c | 884.42$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 779.98$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.79 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 707.4$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.77 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed Over | 49c | 613.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 50c | 332.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 49c | 306.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 49c | 297.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…e09bbacked Over | 49c | 254.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…4e7fbacked Over | 49c | 174.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 48c | 169.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 48c | 150.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 47c | 87.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 51c | 79.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 54.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Under | 53c | 36.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 53c | 28.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…d4b6backed Under | 51c | 26.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 24.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.