Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8dbb5e08721001107301268deda4fe352ab3a22c4a24258a1b49f3763ccafba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Cloud9, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed LYON | 66c | 3,040$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Cloud9 | 34c | 2,331$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed LYON | 63c | 1,478$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.68 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LYON | 64c | 1,039$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Cloud9 | 37c | 561$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Cloud9 | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Cloud9 | 34c | 504.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Cloud9 | 34c | 500.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked LYON | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…6cebbacked LYON | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud9 | 36c | 415.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Cloud9 | 32c | 328.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LYON | 68c | 315$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Cloud9 | 34c | 284.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed LYON | 65c | 258.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Cloud9 | 37c | 215.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Cloud9 | 35c | 213.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked LYON | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Cloud9 | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed LYON | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed LYON | 74c | 102.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cloud9 | 26c | 77.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed LYON | 64c | 71.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked LYON | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Cloud9 | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Cloud9 | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…0d85backed LYON | 66c | 30.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cloud9 | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked LYON | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked LYON | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed LYON | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.