TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd599…7a1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT13842%58 W · 80 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.04
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.74
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+67%+$290.49
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.12
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$664.62
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.39
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.95
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.36
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.92
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.27
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.83
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.95
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+82%+$885.82
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$43.32
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$293.73
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$214.89
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$421.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zhengbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.