TailMyPicks
Market

Euroleague · resolved market

Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guangdong Southern Tigersof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Ducks63c17,470$10,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,940.4616828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c12,097$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,330.366116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Beijing Ducks67c11,613$7,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,724.552927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Guangdong Southern Tigers43c7,602$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.032850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers48c4,563$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.125360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd746…1b6dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers41c4,533$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.692568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Beijing Ducks61c4,114$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangdong Southern Tigers41c3,414$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.3343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers36c2,822$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.223336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers44c2,351$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.563063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Guangdong Southern Tigers40c2,035$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers44c1,907$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.6724430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Beijing Ducks59c1,904$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.514344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guangdong Southern Tigers38c1,757$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.8214037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb462…aeb4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers40c1,678$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers37c1,400$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers39c1,272$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.2835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97b…87dcbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers37c1,267$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Beijing Ducks65c1,267$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.692157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Beijing Ducks59c1,231$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.056144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Beijing Ducks61c1,203$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.916747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Beijing Ducks58c1,166$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.221936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Guangdong Southern Tigers41c1,082$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Beijing Ducks56c1,076$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.282842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Beijing Ducks73c1,074$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.655248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Guangdong Southern Tigers38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.635230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Guangdong Southern Tigers41c1,050$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.324562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…c105backed Guangdong Southern Tigers42c1,013$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817c…0817backed Guangdong Southern Tigers35c1,000$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.74650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Beijing Ducks2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Guangdong Southern Tigers46c999.99$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Guangdong Southern Tigers45c998.98$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.776338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Beijing Ducks64c988.61$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.617042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Ducks59c965.52$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.7513545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Ducks57c935.67$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9231651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Guangdong Southern Tigers22c918.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.823735.1%13 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Guangdong Southern Tigers20c744.77$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.453345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe01b…ba4bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers57c743.44$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Guangdong Southern Tigers25c709.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.261118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…7a1fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers40c700$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Guangdong Southern Tigers38c661.54$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.152458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Beijing Ducks61c628$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.551764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Ducks67c596.54$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Beijing Ducks57c572.33$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6210947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Beijing Ducks64c558.18$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Guangdong Southern Tigers42c544.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.095844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Beijing Ducks25c533.18$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Guangdong Southern Tigers39c500.1$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Beijing Ducks61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Beijing Ducks62c500$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.175747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…5b1abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers43c468.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Guangdong Southern Tigers43c461.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.273243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Beijing Ducks59c434.08$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers44c405.9$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Beijing Ducks58c384.76$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.774443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Beijing Ducks23c377.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.952528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks55c364.06$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.737462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Beijing Ducks66c354.85$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.972030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344f…1a45backed Beijing Ducks57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers18c333.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.332536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…4b50backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c333$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Guangdong Southern Tigers33c327.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.433823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Guangdong Southern Tigers18c322.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.223641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Beijing Ducks56c309$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Beijing Ducks59c304$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.562751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c1…92adbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Beijing Ducks70c294.46$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Beijing Ducks15c270$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.72035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…d516backed Guangdong Southern Tigers43c269.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Guangdong Southern Tigers26c267.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.091560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Beijing Ducks53c248.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.672955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers43c232.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.988845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Beijing Ducks69c223.56$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.813220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Guangdong Southern Tigers42c215.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.965752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Beijing Ducks14c208$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Beijing Ducks58c207.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Guangdong Southern Tigers24c205.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.523161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Beijing Ducks44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Guangdong Southern Tigers41c199.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Beijing Ducks53c198.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.86137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Beijing Ducks56c197$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.872458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Beijing Ducks63c194.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…59fcbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers54c192.76$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…9c5abacked Beijing Ducks62c189.12$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Beijing Ducks63c184.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.83944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Beijing Ducks57c176.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Beijing Ducks25c172.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.412748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Beijing Ducks51c160.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.283336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c160.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Beijing Ducks67c158.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bba…fe34backed Beijing Ducks60c157.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Beijing Ducks71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Beijing Ducks53c146.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.61020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers65c143$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.626061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5646…8fbfbacked Beijing Ducks62c139$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers38c131.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.597138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Ducks60c130.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5913751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Beijing Ducks56c129.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.66450%32 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.