Lol · resolved market
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68ec25ea3718d144838a8bc5d1c0cdce3ac171360ec3a935d3cd219ce30456f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids | 77c | 2,524$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.47 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RED Canids | 70c | 1,880$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 1,441$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Leviatan Esports | 31c | 1,386$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Leviatan Esports | 24c | 1,352$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.11 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 946.8$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…48ecbacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 925.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 858.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.33 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RED Canids | 70c | 623.02$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed RED Canids | 80c | 492.66$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…7a1fbacked Leviatan Esports | 15c | 426.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RED Canids | 65c | 392.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Leviatan Esports | 33c | 385.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 255.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Leviatan Esports | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Leviatan Esports | 41c | 244.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…1e72backed Leviatan Esports | 23c | 231.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 341 | 41.6%142 W · 199 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 226$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 204.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Leviatan Esports | 13c | 199.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed RED Canids | 69c | 177$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed Leviatan Esports | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Leviatan Esports | 24c | 167.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked RED Canids | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Leviatan Esports | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RED Canids | 74c | 129.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatan Esports | 22c | 113.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Leviatan Esports | 33c | 101.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leviatan Esports | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatan Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed RED Canids | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 94.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…7f69backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 83.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed RED Canids | 27c | 81.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Leviatan Esports | 13c | 79.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed RED Canids | 66c | 76.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Leviatan Esports | 14c | 73.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 208 | 54.3%113 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RED Canids | 69c | 69.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Leviatan Esports | 21c | 65.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed RED Canids | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…2d72backed Leviatan Esports | 18c | 63.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Leviatan Esports | 22c | 59.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RED Canids | 73c | 58.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed RED Canids | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked RED Canids | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed RED Canids | 76c | 44.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed RED Canids | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed RED Canids | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked RED Canids | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed RED Canids | 67c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RED Canids | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed RED Canids | 77c | 21.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RED Canids | 74c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)RED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.