Lol · resolved market
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc4ef27e3250b9f3d907b7cc2f82ef443770b2942f2e4dade93fed29e6b58af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Leviatan Esports | 4c | 2,640$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Leviatan Esports | 15c | 1,150$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Leviatan Esports | 18c | 542$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed RED Canids | 80c | 505.48$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed RED Canids | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 415.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…0352backed Leviatan Esports | 18c | 282$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 270.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked RED Canids | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Leviatan Esports | 22c | 245$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Leviatan Esports | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 157.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Leviatan Esports | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Leviatan Esports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 126.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids | 78c | 89.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 65.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 59.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatan Esports | 20c | 51.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Leviatan Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 35.8%54 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RED Canids | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed RED Canids | 77c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)RED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.