TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfbf7…0352

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Mls, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 50 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.04
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.13
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$11.77
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$25.96
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.02
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$24.4
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.02
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15.86
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.46
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.6
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.47
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$19
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giovanni Legnini win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.