Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3b1e4b25ee61568b45880ac5dc04cc49391a48d74f4d4533a49b0011043a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 635.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 433.01$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 429.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 425.01$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 47c | 265.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 256$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 66c | 251.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 34c | 245$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 230.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 196.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 58c | 167$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 161.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 159.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 154.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 124.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 36c | 115.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 80c | 85.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 80.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 68.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 45c | 66.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 58c | 40.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 37c | 36.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 68c | 31.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 36c | 28.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…0352backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…2261backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 62c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 77c | 13.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.