Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0de82976c842c3e388d1f8f68b6ab8577360f4c90d5a98da39861d57ed948ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 4,949$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.28 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 4,721$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 13c | 2,685$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 1,344$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.06 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Over | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Over | 31c | 1,061$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 73c | 896.08$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 58c | 862.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 645$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 74c | 644.03$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 608.47$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 16c | 520.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.32 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 72c | 465.37$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Under | 58c | 433.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 401.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 323.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 320.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 75c | 308$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 249.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 246.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 24c | 246.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 74c | 238.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 207.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 164.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 45c | 145.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 112.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 106.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 66c | 103.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 62.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 73c | 61.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 40c | 60.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 74c | 52.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…0c83backed Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 69c | 37.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 52c | 31.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf799…6055backed Under | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 40c | 29.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 54c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 69c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.