TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbeea…0c83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$34.29
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$52
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Kym (-1.5) vs Clarke (+1.5)backed Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Zug: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$52.51
Set 1 Winner: Galan vs Baillybacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$38.91
Australian Open Women's: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$20.73
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$16.17
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+87%+$43.48
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$53.67
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$51.1
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$49.05
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$110.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$70.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.