Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemot

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860574b9bad5d31da38a2faf8e90b41d2e91c401ca4b442fc7855e1cfde5d5d5

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Putintsevaof Putintseva, Jacquemot
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Jacquemot	0c	4,530$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jacquemot	7c	3,596$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.5	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Putintseva	69c	3,500$2,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085	192	41.1%79 W · 113 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Jacquemot	32c	3,100$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992	375	40.8%153 W · 222 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Jacquemot	30c	3,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Putintseva	68c	2,861$1,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.48	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jacquemot	31c	2,139$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.17	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Jacquemot	31c	1,231$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.76	430	51.2%220 W · 210 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Putintseva	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	69cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Putintseva	71c	918.42$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.42	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Putintseva	70c	826$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.8	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Putintseva	67c	743.41$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.41	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Jacquemot	2c	541$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jacquemot	5c	506.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Jacquemot	33c	499.91$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.97	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Jacquemot	19c	467.78$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.52	174	36.8%64 W · 110 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jacquemot	33c	452$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.92	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Putintseva	68c	429.15$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.33	1,039	54.6%567 W · 472 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Putintseva	68c	367.65$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.65	587	53.7%315 W · 272 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Jacquemot	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	287	54%155 W · 132 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Putintseva	70c	286.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.91	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Putintseva	71c	267.41$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.75	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacquemot	31c	258.06$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	190	23.2%44 W · 146 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jacquemot	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1,106	41%454 W · 652 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacquemot	28c	220$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.73	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Putintseva	67c	215.1$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.61	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacquemot	9c	187.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Jacquemot	32c	149.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.24	491	42.8%210 W · 281 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aae…e4febacked Jacquemot	32c	144.94$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cf…dc60backed Putintseva	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Putintseva	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Jacquemot	35c	144.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jacquemot	23c	125.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.67	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Jacquemot	32c	125$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jacquemot	21c	124.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	281	39.1%110 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa982…e2fcbacked Jacquemot	32c	124.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.94	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Jacquemot	11c	121.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-16.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Jacquemot	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	255	42%107 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Putintseva	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Jacquemot	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Jacquemot	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	3.8%3 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Jacquemot	31c	97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	602	40.5%244 W · 358 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jacquemot	29c	93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.97	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Putintseva	69c	87.07$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.99	364	64.3%234 W · 130 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Putintseva	70c	86.1$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.83	678	36%244 W · 434 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Putintseva	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Jacquemot	32c	67.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Jacquemot	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Jacquemot	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,107	43.5%481 W · 626 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Jacquemot	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Putintseva	70c	57.14$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.14	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Jacquemot	32c	56.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	106	54.7%58 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jacquemot	31c	54.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jacquemot	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacquemot	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Putintseva	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	363	49.9%181 W · 182 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Jacquemot	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	249	31.3%78 W · 171 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Jacquemot	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80d4…9676backed Putintseva	68c	43.29$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Jacquemot	33c	41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	314	34.4%108 W · 206 L	-25.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Putintseva	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a9…bb66backed Putintseva	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	71	70.4%50 W · 21 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Putintseva	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed Putintseva	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Putintseva	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5815…ed96backed Putintseva	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5240backed Putintseva	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Putintseva	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Putintseva	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	718	57.7%414 W · 304 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Putintseva	69c	18.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2b…573cbacked Putintseva	67c	16.42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.42	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc3…4f7abacked Putintseva	68c	16.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed Putintseva	70c	14.47$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemotthis page
Putintseva vs. Jacquemot: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Putintseva vs JacquemotPutintseva won
Set Handicap: Putintseva (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)Putintseva won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemot

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event