TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x555c…dc37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+203%+$30.35
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Janice Tjen vs Maya Jointbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$30.15
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$30.26
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$9.95
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.23
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.8
Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Ruud (+2.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.7%+$13.86
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.05
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$40.5
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Bublik (+2.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.59
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+167.4%+$120.54
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wangbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Australian Open Women's: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.04
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST5058%29 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55.21
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.03
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$59.63
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.27
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$152.07
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$110
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$56.47
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35.84
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$57.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88%+$13.19
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,772Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,428
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+100.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$355.32
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+113.6%+$56.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.