Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56617185cfc4277c590029f8e60dcd23811e3b92e73b909cb13d8f6f1a3dd5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Muchova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Muchova | 32c | 21,253$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,845.86 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Gauff | 67c | 15,380$10,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.86 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Muchova | 11c | 14,545$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Muchova | 21c | 12,743$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Gauff | 66c | 11,940$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.2 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Muchova | 18c | 11,083$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.15 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Muchova | 16c | 9,946$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.86 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Muchova | 28c | 9,218$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Muchova | 33c | 9,132$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.16 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Muchova | 34c | 9,003$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.44 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Muchova | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Muchova | 15c | 5,489$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Gauff | 68c | 5,113$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.24 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Gauff | 69c | 4,682$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.51 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Muchova | 17c | 4,603$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.64 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Muchova | 32c | 4,181$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.65 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Muchova | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Gauff | 68c | 3,383$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.48 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Muchova | 17c | 2,802$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Gauff | 66c | 2,772$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.04 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Muchova | 8c | 2,704$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gauff | 75c | 2,592$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.05 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 68c | 2,356$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Gauff | 73c | 2,300$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Gauff | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Muchova | 7c | 1,990$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Muchova | 24c | 1,950$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.48 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gauff | 76c | 1,934$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Gauff | 74c | 1,932$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gauff | 75c | 1,914$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Muchova | 34c | 1,754$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.39 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Muchova | 32c | 1,712$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.42 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Muchova | 12c | 1,565$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Gauff | 75c | 1,552$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.9 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…bd20backed Muchova | 5c | 1,536$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Gauff | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Muchova | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Muchova | 10c | 1,396$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gauff | 75c | 1,258$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Muchova | 29c | 1,231$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Muchova | 32c | 1,180$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.8 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Gauff | 67c | 1,133$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.84 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Gauff | 76c | 1,129$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Gauff | 68c | 1,115$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Muchova | 28c | 1,106$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Muchova | 15c | 1,086$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Muchova | 30c | 1,018$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.06 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Muchova | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Muchova | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Gauff | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Muchova | 17c | 925.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Muchova | 12c | 866.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gauff | 76c | 856$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gauff | 66c | 844.19$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Muchova | 27c | 826.21$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.44 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Muchova | 29c | 820.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Gauff | 67c | 800$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Gauff | 67c | 795.76$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Gauff | 65c | 769.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Muchova | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Gauff | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Gauff | 67c | 741.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Gauff | 69c | 726$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Muchova | 16c | 700.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Gauff | 73c | 641.1$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Muchova | 34c | 623.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Gauff | 75c | 606.67$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Muchova | 33c | 605.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Muchova | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Muchova | 15c | 555$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Gauff | 67c | 545.4$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Gauff | 68c | 511.76$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Gauff | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Muchova | 18c | 494.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Gauff | 75c | 478.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Muchova | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Muchova | 18c | 436.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Muchova | 35c | 428.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Muchova | 22c | 401.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Muchova | 14c | 400.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Gauff | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Muchova | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Gauff | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Gauff | 74c | 395.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Gauff | 79c | 350$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Muchova | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Gauff | 67c | 319.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Muchova | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Gauff | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Gauff | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Gauff | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…ad90backed Muchova | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…8e14backed Gauff | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Muchova | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Muchova | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…21b7backed Gauff | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…59f3backed Gauff | 67c | 296.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Gauff | 69c | 291.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Muchova | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Gauff | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovathis page
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.