TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3302…5397

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano Navonebacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$132.04
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.8%+$52.21
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$185.88
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.4%+$33.41
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Rotterdam Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.7%+$31.71
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Qatar Total Open: Alycia Parks vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.8%+$75.81
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Clara Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$587.3
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+158.5%+$158.46
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Geabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+55%+$110.02
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30.1%+$60.23
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$78.9
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+257.1%+$257.14
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+300%+$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$163.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $175?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.2%+$25.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.