Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293b9166bc9f6b585f00f186b9252cf697cc413ad9d49bdadef286e219945da1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,840,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,830,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,840,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 78c | 635,344$493,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,104.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 22c | 393,436$87,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,921.47 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 79c | 189,858$149,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,870.23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 22c | 170,221$37,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,150.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 115,345$9,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,773.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 21c | 108,089$22,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,698.62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 23c | 100,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 77c | 99,999$77,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 78c | 78,141$60,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,221.98 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 67,555$15,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000.72 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 55,595$12,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,168.15 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 22c | 52,400$11,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,528 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 46,967$9,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,297.8 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 22c | 45,872$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945.34 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 0c | 29,464$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 26,821$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160.22 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 22c | 24,437$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 21c | 17,543$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 78c | 16,354$12,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 22c | 15,100$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 22c | 15,084$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.48 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 21c | 13,496$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 13,276$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 22c | 13,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 22c | 10,819$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.18 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 9,945$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 9,643$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 22c | 9,250$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.07 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed Yes | 78c | 8,544$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.97 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…1a7abacked No | 23c | 6,794$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 24c | 6,788$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 23c | 6,549$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.27 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 22c | 5,908$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.95 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 22c | 5,521$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.41 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 5,247$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.42 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 23c | 5,199$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.85 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 22c | 4,418$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 1c | 4,357$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 22c | 4,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 21c | 3,912$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.3 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 22c | 3,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked No | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 78c | 2,560$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 4c | 2,522$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 23c | 2,479$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 21c | 2,189$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…95a8backed No | 21c | 2,096$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 22c | 2,040$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.31 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 22c | 2,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.37 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.01 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 22c | 1,941$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.07 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 24c | 1,901$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 22c | 1,820$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 22c | 1,777$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 77c | 1,732$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.36 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 21c | 1,661$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.81 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 23c | 1,633$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 77c | 1,558$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked No | 22c | 1,549$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 22c | 1,545$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…e026backed Yes | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 20c | 1,211$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 23c | 1,065$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 76c | 1,024$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 22c | 999.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 21c | 936.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed No | 10c | 920$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…da5abacked Yes | 76c | 780.24$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 76c | 772$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 80c | 746.89$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Yes | 78c | 744.81$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 24c | 708.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed No | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 22c | 681.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 3c | 678.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 649.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 648$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed No | 24c | 632.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +201%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked No | 23c | 579.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…7cecbacked Yes | 77c | 517.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 77c | 516.38$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.