TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Swiatekof Swiatek, Kasatkina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$437,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$520,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed Kasatkina5c26,807$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.3623126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kasatkina13c16,800$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.552,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Kasatkina26c13,363$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.693764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kasatkina6c11,810$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.481,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Kasatkina4c8,249$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.971,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Kasatkina6c7,498$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.718031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Swiatek79c6,299$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.5336968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Kasatkina10c5,826$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.0519134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Kasatkina1c5,730$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.52,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Swiatek70c5,000$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49558139.9%232 W · 349 L+0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Kasatkina10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9810547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Swiatek68c4,423$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.9848851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Swiatek67c3,839$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.69242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Kasatkina14c3,543$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Kasatkina3c2,994$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Kasatkina17c2,943$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kasatkina5c2,827$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.071,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kasatkina21c2,779$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina20c2,696$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.092,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Kasatkina6c2,385$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kasatkina34c2,286$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77799139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kasatkina5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kasatkina16c1,933$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.097,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kasatkina12c1,925$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Swiatek77c1,881$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.652,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Kasatkina29c1,848$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.630241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Swiatek72c1,687$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.0218863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kasatkina12c1,632$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.173,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Kasatkina19c1,536$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8511123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Kasatkina16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Kasatkina7c1,486$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.013650%18 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kasatkina6c1,444$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kasatkina6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Kasatkina6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0517933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kasatkina6c1,250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Kasatkina6c1,229$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.755736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Swiatek69c1,150$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.364740.4%19 W · 28 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Kasatkina5c1,138$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Kasatkina18c1,136$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.625152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Swiatek75c1,131$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.220261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Kasatkina5c1,111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5531753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Swiatek76c1,055$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.54557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Kasatkina19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Kasatkina12c1,015$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa380…a620backed Kasatkina5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Kasatkina20c960.11$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.762,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e1…8d3abacked Kasatkina12c933.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.71050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Swiatek75c930.19$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.192343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Swiatek63c713.23$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Kasatkina31c645.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Kasatkina38c622.75$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Kasatkina23c618.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14516665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Kasatkina5c609.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.481,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Kasatkina32c602$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6415356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina6c600$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Kasatkina7c546.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8913338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Swiatek80c502.14$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.435354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8be…f991backed Kasatkina3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Kasatkina12c492.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8616132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x746d…81dbbacked Kasatkina6c450$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Kasatkina22c418$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.726740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Swiatek68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12858438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Swiatek68c398$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3617462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Kasatkina7c370$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Kasatkina5c370$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Swiatek73c360.9$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.442343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Kasatkina24c350$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.267131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kasatkina5c336$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Swiatek58c335.06$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0635730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Kasatkina15c333.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9935248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Swiatek68c320.36$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8120257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Kasatkina13c309.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Kasatkina33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kasatkina4c299.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked Swiatek63c289.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.752147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kasatkina17c286.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.072,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8213…8c05backed Kasatkina7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Kasatkina7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Kasatkina6c275$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56327%17 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da8…a481backed Kasatkina5c247.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cee…41a8backed Swiatek68c220.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.621464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Kasatkina24c206.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Kasatkina6c205.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.329643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Kasatkina7c205.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3642358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kasatkina15c203.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.376,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kasatkina5c203$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Kasatkina5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67d…ffc4backed Kasatkina5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Kasatkina6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.659348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb570…f7cdbacked Kasatkina34c174.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.752347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b6b…b355backed Kasatkina21c143.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304122%9 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Swiatek74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Kasatkina10c134.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Swiatek69c133.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.515734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Swiatek75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3328762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Swiatek76c131.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.714158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc840…9cf6backed Kasatkina27c128$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.151752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kasatkina14c126.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Kasatkina32c123.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb1d…2891backed Kasatkina28c106.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.