Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14851b042fa5e52e569fdc2921ad58af003f4173ef9ae9c57db6f9ab265db525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatekof Swiatek, Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Kasatkina | 5c | 26,807$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.36 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kasatkina | 13c | 16,800$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Kasatkina | 26c | 13,363$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.69 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kasatkina | 6c | 11,810$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.48 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kasatkina | 4c | 8,249$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Kasatkina | 6c | 7,498$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.71 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Swiatek | 79c | 6,299$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.53 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Kasatkina | 10c | 5,826$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.05 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kasatkina | 1c | 5,730$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Swiatek | 70c | 5,000$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Kasatkina | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Swiatek | 68c | 4,423$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.98 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Swiatek | 67c | 3,839$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.6 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Kasatkina | 14c | 3,543$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.69 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Kasatkina | 3c | 2,994$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Kasatkina | 17c | 2,943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kasatkina | 5c | 2,827$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kasatkina | 21c | 2,779$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.1 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina | 20c | 2,696$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Kasatkina | 6c | 2,385$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kasatkina | 34c | 2,286$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kasatkina | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kasatkina | 16c | 1,933$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kasatkina | 12c | 1,925$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Swiatek | 77c | 1,881$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Kasatkina | 29c | 1,848$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.6 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Swiatek | 72c | 1,687$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.02 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kasatkina | 12c | 1,632$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Kasatkina | 19c | 1,536$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Kasatkina | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Kasatkina | 7c | 1,486$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kasatkina | 6c | 1,444$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kasatkina | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Kasatkina | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kasatkina | 6c | 1,250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Kasatkina | 6c | 1,229$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Swiatek | 69c | 1,150$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Kasatkina | 5c | 1,138$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Kasatkina | 18c | 1,136$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Swiatek | 75c | 1,131$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kasatkina | 5c | 1,111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Swiatek | 76c | 1,055$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kasatkina | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Kasatkina | 12c | 1,015$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…a620backed Kasatkina | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Kasatkina | 20c | 960.11$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…8d3abacked Kasatkina | 12c | 933.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Swiatek | 75c | 930.19$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Swiatek | 63c | 713.23$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kasatkina | 31c | 645.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Kasatkina | 38c | 622.75$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Kasatkina | 23c | 618.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Kasatkina | 5c | 609.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Kasatkina | 32c | 602$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina | 6c | 600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Kasatkina | 7c | 546.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Swiatek | 80c | 502.14$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Kasatkina | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Kasatkina | 12c | 492.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Kasatkina | 6c | 450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Kasatkina | 22c | 418$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Swiatek | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Swiatek | 68c | 398$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Kasatkina | 7c | 370$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Kasatkina | 5c | 370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Swiatek | 73c | 360.9$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Kasatkina | 24c | 350$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kasatkina | 5c | 336$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Swiatek | 58c | 335.06$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Kasatkina | 15c | 333.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Swiatek | 68c | 320.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Kasatkina | 13c | 309.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Kasatkina | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kasatkina | 4c | 299.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked Swiatek | 63c | 289.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kasatkina | 17c | 286.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Kasatkina | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Kasatkina | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Kasatkina | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Kasatkina | 5c | 247.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…41a8backed Swiatek | 68c | 220.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Kasatkina | 24c | 206.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Kasatkina | 6c | 205.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Kasatkina | 7c | 205.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kasatkina | 15c | 203.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kasatkina | 5c | 203$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Kasatkina | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Kasatkina | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Kasatkina | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…f7cdbacked Kasatkina | 34c | 174.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…b355backed Kasatkina | 21c | 143.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Swiatek | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…adbebacked Kasatkina | 10c | 134.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Swiatek | 69c | 133.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Swiatek | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Swiatek | 76c | 131.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Kasatkina | 27c | 128$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kasatkina | 14c | 126.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Kasatkina | 32c | 123.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…2891backed Kasatkina | 28c | 106.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs KasatkinaKasatkina won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)Kasatkina won
- Swiatek vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Swiatek vs. Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.